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36 Min Till Start

AU - Mornington - Race 4

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
16.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Plenty of chances. MR MARKLE (2) was poorly away then worked through the line well to be beaten under two lengths over 5 ½f at Moe last start. Placed twice from three tries at this shorter journey. Will appreciate the hot tempo and can get home over the top of them. MOAKSUN (1) has showed little early muster in his two runs this prep before finding the line well, most recently in a similar race to this at Seymour. Gets a soft run from the inside alley and if the runs present he is one to watch for late in the piece. DERELICT (3) is a good fresh performer so keep him safe off a 28-week break. THE CRUISER (7) can be in the finish on his recent efforts.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Mr Markle silk

Most recently 6th of 13 at Moe 0 - 56 on April 25 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Affirmative Lad carrying 132lbs at $3.40. The run before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 at Warracknabeal Bm56 on April 4 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Tangoette carrying 132lbs at $2.60. Knocking on the door and this looks a nice race for him.

1st Pick
2

Mr Markle

Jockey: Luke Nolen

Trainer: Patrick Payne

J: Luke Nolen

T: Patrick Payne

165---35%15/8

Analysis

Most recently 6th of 13 at Moe 0 - 56 on April 25 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Affirmative Lad carrying 132lbs at $3.40. The run before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 at Warracknabeal Bm56 on April 4 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Tangoette carrying 132lbs at $2.60. Knocking on the door and this looks a nice race for him.

6
She's Elusive silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Swan Hill Mdn-Sw on April 12 over 4f, 1.75 len behind Gunz carrying 123lbs at $26. Last start won by 1.0 len at Albury Mdn-Sw April 23 over 4 ½f defeating The Lad carrying 126lbs at $2.70. Found her best form now. Going great guns this prep and should perform well again.

2nd Pick
6

She's Elusive

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Saab Hasan

J: Non Runner

T: Saab Hasan

108---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Swan Hill Mdn-Sw on April 12 over 4f, 1.75 len behind Gunz carrying 123lbs at $26. Last start won by 1.0 len at Albury Mdn-Sw April 23 over 4 ½f defeating The Lad carrying 126lbs at $2.70. Found her best form now. Going great guns this prep and should perform well again.

1
Moaksun silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up from last on the turn 5th of 8 at Ballarat 0 - 62 on March 20 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Wingsandpropellers with 127lbs at $11. Last start 4th of 12 at Seymour Bm56 on April 13 over 5f, slow going 2.75 len behind Kid Dynamite carrying 132lbs at $5.50. Strips fitter and a bold showing is expected.

3rd Pick
1

Moaksun

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Henry Dwyer

J: Jamie Mott

T: Henry Dwyer

115---29%5/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up from last on the turn 5th of 8 at Ballarat 0 - 62 on March 20 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Wingsandpropellers with 127lbs at $11. Last start 4th of 12 at Seymour Bm56 on April 13 over 5f, slow going 2.75 len behind Kid Dynamite carrying 132lbs at $5.50. Strips fitter and a bold showing is expected.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.