AU - Mornington - Race 4

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

27.5K

VIEW

Verdict

KOKO (8) won a jumpout and then was narrowly beaten at Kyneton on debut on a heavy track. There was plenty of merit in that effort, and she'll jump fitter and from a low barrier. Stackhouse rides today and she's a strong winning chance. PATH TO PROFIT (9) will be fancied building on her placing here heavily bet. She just missed in town prior and Melham has been booked by the premier stable. Has an inside barrier and may control the race. THEATRICAL QUEEN (12) had been well educated and went well here on debut. Has an awkward gate to overcome, but with the extra fitness she can get some of the money. FAERIE (3) also needs to find more to be winning, but she's sure to keep improving for a leading metro stable.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	At debut, 4th of 9 at Kyneton 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 5 over 6f, in the wet, 0.9 len behind Asiatic carrying 123lbs at $9. Fitter and go close. 1st Pick 8 Koko Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Mark Walker J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Mark Walker	159	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At debut, 4th of 9 at Kyneton 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 5 over 6f, in the wet, 0.9 len behind Asiatic carrying 123lbs at $9. Fitter and go close.
9	Most recently 2nd of 9 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on November 10 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Ravens Bay carrying 125lbs at $1.85. The race before that 4th of 7 at Sandown-Hillside Mdn-Sw on October 1 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Proficient carrying 115lbs at $9.50. Key runner ready to win. 2nd Pick 9 Path To Profit Jockey: Ben Melham Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Ben Melham T: Ciaron Maher	165	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 9 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on November 10 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Ravens Bay carrying 125lbs at $1.85. The race before that 4th of 7 at Sandown-Hillside Mdn-Sw on October 1 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Proficient carrying 115lbs at $9.50. Key runner ready to win.
12	At debut, 3rd in a small field at this track 3yo F Mdn-Sw on November 10 over 5f, slow going 1.75 len behind Doubtland Diva carrying 126lbs at $6. Sure to run well again. 3rd Pick 12 Theatrical Queen Jockey: Patrick Moloney Trainer: Robbie Griffiths J: Patrick Moloney T: Robbie Griffiths	116	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis At debut, 3rd in a small field at this track 3yo F Mdn-Sw on November 10 over 5f, slow going 1.75 len behind Doubtland Diva carrying 126lbs at $6. Sure to run well again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.