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4:30 AM

AU - Mornington - Race 4

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
23.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Slick race that might only have a $17k winner's cheque but it carries $70k worth of VOBIS bonuses. QUEEN SERENA (10) is eligible for $40,000 of them, so there's plenty riding on it and you suspect this has been a target race. Two jumpout wins at Flemington this time in suggest she's a key player. COME TOGETHER (2) has had the benefit of a trip to the races and was far from disgraced, albeit given every chance. TYRANT REX (9) is a first-starter from the powerful Freedman stable and while he's drawn poorly, he looks to have the early speed to offset that. Speaking of early speed, STAR GYAL (11) looked very sharp winning a 3f here at her latest trial and she has the advantage of being trained on the track. THE TROUBLESHOOTER (8) is the most experienced runner in the race and is coming off a PB performance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Queen Serena silk

Filly by I Am Invincible making her first appearance. Won a jump-out at Flemington on August 28. Won both jumpouts this time and racing for plenty of VOBIS bonuses, so suspect this is a target race.

1st Pick
10

Queen Serena

Jockey: Michael Dee

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Michael Dee

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

48---19%9/2

Analysis

Filly by I Am Invincible making her first appearance. Won a jump-out at Flemington on August 28. Won both jumpouts this time and racing for plenty of VOBIS bonuses, so suspect this is a target race.

2
Come Together silk

Was well-supported at debut, 2nd in a small field in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on August 12 over 5f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Hydro Rush with 128lbs at $2.50. Top chance to get off the mark.

2nd Pick
2

Come Together

Jockey: Ethan Brown

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Ethan Brown

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

149---23%7/2

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, 2nd in a small field in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on August 12 over 5f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Hydro Rush with 128lbs at $2.50. Top chance to get off the mark.

9
Tyrant Rex silk

Gelding by Wild Ruler on debut. Won a jump-out at Cranbourne on August 17. Yard have a strong strike-rate with debutantes and showed good speed to win latest jumpout at Cranbourne.

3rd Pick
9

Tyrant Rex

Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse

Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman

J: Daniel Stackhouse

T: Anthony & Sam Freedman

61---12%15/2

Analysis

Gelding by Wild Ruler on debut. Won a jump-out at Cranbourne on August 17. Yard have a strong strike-rate with debutantes and showed good speed to win latest jumpout at Cranbourne.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.