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4:00 AM

AU - Mornington - Race 3

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
23.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KOKO (9) is an eight-start maiden who has been in the money at her last couple of runs, the latest when second over 5f at Moe. Draws beautifully here and this might be her best chance yet. HAUTE (8) hasn't trialled like a superstar but hails from a stable renowned for getting them to win on debut and it's worth noting there was good support as soon as markets went up. SERVENIA (10) was never in contention last time over 5 ½f at Sale when she finished 11th, beaten 4.5 lengths, but the run prior was good. Finds a suitable assignment this time and is a great chance to break through. FLAMINGO FLYER (3) finished fourth over 5f at Pakenham Synthetic when resuming last start, beaten only 1.75 lengths. Fitter so anticipating a better run this time. TOROKAWA (11) wasn't disgraced in two runs in the first prep and has trialled like she's improved between campaigns.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Koko silk

Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Moe on August 13 over 5f, on rain affected going, 0.5 len behind Announced Speed with 127lbs at $2.35. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 in a Mdn-Sw at Cranbourne on July 16 over 5f, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Covert Action with 123lbs at $5.50. Expected to feature.

1st Pick
9

Koko

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Mark Walker

J: Jamie Mott

T: Mark Walker

237---27%11/4

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Moe on August 13 over 5f, on rain affected going, 0.5 len behind Announced Speed with 127lbs at $2.35. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 in a Mdn-Sw at Cranbourne on July 16 over 5f, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Covert Action with 123lbs at $5.50. Expected to feature.

8
Haute silk

Mare by Flying Artie on debut. Finished sixth in a Cranbourne jump-out on August 24. Hasn't done a heap at the trials, but stable knows how to get them to win on debut, and has attracted early support.

2nd Pick
8

Haute

Jockey: Ben Melham

Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald

J: Ben Melham

T: Clinton Mcdonald

87---40%6/4

Analysis

Mare by Flying Artie on debut. Finished sixth in a Cranbourne jump-out on August 24. Hasn't done a heap at the trials, but stable knows how to get them to win on debut, and has attracted early support.

10
Servenia silk

Third-up today. Resuming came from midfield, 3rd of 10 in a 3yo F Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on July 30 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.75 len behind Shapenapit carrying 126lbs at $16. Last start got back early 11th of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Sale on August 21 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind La Zoom with 127lbs at $12. Well placed. Terrific chance to return to form.

3rd Pick
10

Servenia

Jockey: Luke Currie

Trainer: Vincent Hall

J: Luke Currie

T: Vincent Hall

95---5%20/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming came from midfield, 3rd of 10 in a 3yo F Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on July 30 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.75 len behind Shapenapit carrying 126lbs at $16. Last start got back early 11th of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Sale on August 21 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind La Zoom with 127lbs at $12. Well placed. Terrific chance to return to form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.