AU - Mornington - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

12.2f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

24.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Open race. Leaning to RAGHNALL (7) who is going okay for a race of this quality. He just found one better when in the market at Moe two back then battled as favourite at Ballarat over 1 ?m. Placed his only go here and doesn't need to do anything more to be breaking through. CHARLIE MESSY HAIR (3) has been about the mark on the flat, his only win coming over the jumps. His past two at Geelong & Ballarat are good enough to figure here. GREY SABRE (5) has placed his past couple, good at big odds in a stronger maiden at Moe last time out. Up to the longer trip but should give a sight. BLANCHE BASS (8) was okay at Bairnsdale last time in a distant third. Rough hope. CALL ME FRANCIS (2) could sneak a placing.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	At the latest run 5th of 11 in a Hcp at Ballarat on October 9 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Devoted To You with 131lbs at $2.40. The run before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Moe on September 24 over 1 ½m, 3 len behind Wolves' Den carrying 131lbs at $3.60. Terrific chance to return to form. 1st Pick 7 Raghnall Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Shannon Roughan J: Thomas Stockdale T: Shannon Roughan	121	-	-	-	36%
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 11 in a Hcp at Ballarat on October 9 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Devoted To You with 131lbs at $2.40. The run before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Moe on September 24 over 1 ½m, 3 len behind Wolves' Den carrying 131lbs at $3.60. Terrific chance to return to form.
3	Most recently 4th of 11 in a Hcp at Ballarat on October 9 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Devoted To You carrying 131lbs at $16. The start before that 5th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on September 11 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Eye Tracker with 131lbs at $21. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 2nd Pick 3 Charlie Messy Hair Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Jessica Pateman J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Jessica Pateman	128	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Most recently 4th of 11 in a Hcp at Ballarat on October 9 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Devoted To You carrying 131lbs at $16. The start before that 5th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on September 11 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Eye Tracker with 131lbs at $21. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.
5	Racing well recently. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Moe on September 24 over 1 ¼m, 2.75 len behind Jean Georges carrying 131lbs at $26. The race before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 in a Mdn-Sw at Moe on September 8 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Jonquil with 131lbs at $31. Well placed. Maps well and should take catching. 3rd Pick 5 Grey Sabre Jockey: Logan Mcneil Trainer: David Noonan J: Logan Mcneil T: David Noonan	69	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Moe on September 24 over 1 ¼m, 2.75 len behind Jean Georges carrying 131lbs at $26. The race before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 in a Mdn-Sw at Moe on September 8 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Jonquil with 131lbs at $31. Well placed. Maps well and should take catching.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.