AU - Mornington - Race 3

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

7.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

27.5K

VIEW

Verdict

I BELIEVE I BELONG (6) was never in the hunt on debut and then improved sharply when beaten less than 2L at Geelong over this distance on a wet track. Has a soft draw and a small claim and the tongue tie is on for the first time. She won't have to improve much to feature. MERIMBULA (3) won a jumpout but needed the first-up outing. He's suited by the step up in trip and he's shown enough to be a winning chance. HORATIUS (2) also strips fitter and will be more effective over the 7 ½f. Ben Melham is a key jockey booking. Has been kept on the fresh side and is capable of making the finish. PROFFER (5) is third-up and heading in the right direction. He's another who should enjoy the extra metres and also deserves consideration.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	1 Churchill Lane Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Jason Warren J: Jake Noonan T: Jason Warren	46	-	-	-	17%	5/1
2	3rd Pick 2 Horatius Jockey: Ben Melham Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald J: Ben Melham T: Clinton Mcdonald	132	-	-	-	20%	4/1
3	2nd Pick 3 Merimbula Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Ben Allen T: Matt Laurie	179	-	-	-	25%	3/1
4	4 Princing Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Jerome Hunter J: Thomas Stockdale T: Jerome Hunter	119	-	-	-	15%	6/1
5	5 Proffer Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Julius Sandhu J: Jamie Mott T: Julius Sandhu	129	-	-	-	19%	9/2
6	1st Pick 6 I Believe I Belong Jockey: Ryan Houston Trainer: Simon Zahra J: Ryan Houston T: Simon Zahra	124	-	-	-	23%	7/2
7	7 Kissattack Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Danny O'brien J: Non Runner T: Danny O'brien	67	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
8	8 Shes A Good Cause Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: Michael Sell J: Craig Newitt T: Michael Sell	93	-	-	-	2%	60/1
9	9 Stelletta Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black	105	-	-	-	4%	25/1

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.