AU - Mornington - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

17.5K

VIEW

Verdict

BIFROST (1) doesn't win out of turn but is going well and another win looks close. He's just found one better his past couple over this trip, beaten under a length each time. This isn't a very strong race and he'll be hard to hold out. STRONG BOX (3) ran well fresh in tougher company at Ballarat over this trip and should be fitter. He's still lightly raced and with even luck will be very hard to beat. ILOVEDIAMONDS (7) broke through for a dominant maiden win at Mildura when last seen, bolting in by five lengths. She'll give them something to catch again. BELLA CINQUE (5) will be up on speed and can figure.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Form hard to fault. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 9 in a Bm56 at Ballarat on October 9 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Les Braves with 138lbs at $5.50. Before that 2nd of 8 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on September 21 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Ziggy Bama carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Sets up well, go close. 1st Pick 1 Bifrost Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Emma-Lee & David Browne J: Brad Rawiller T: Emma-Lee & David Browne	187	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 9 in a Bm56 at Ballarat on October 9 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Les Braves with 138lbs at $5.50. Before that 2nd of 8 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on September 21 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Ziggy Bama carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Sets up well, go close.
3	Second-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 11 in a Bm66 at Ballarat on September 30 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Yolo carrying 127lbs at $21. Previously second-up got back early 6th of 9 in a 3yo Bm64 at Caulfield Heath on May 20 over 5f, on a slow track, 2 len behind I'm Foxing with 130lbs at $13. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat. 2nd Pick 3 Strong Box Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Dominic Sutton J: Billy Egan T: Dominic Sutton	170	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 11 in a Bm66 at Ballarat on September 30 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Yolo carrying 127lbs at $21. Previously second-up got back early 6th of 9 in a 3yo Bm64 at Caulfield Heath on May 20 over 5f, on a slow track, 2 len behind I'm Foxing with 130lbs at $13. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.
7	At the latest run scored a big 5 len win in a Mdn-Sw at Mildura on October 6 over 5f defeating Gamadale Possum with 123lbs at $2.50. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Bairnsdale on September 20 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Luminary Miss with 127lbs at $5.50. Can give a sight again. 3rd Pick 7 Ilovediamonds Jockey: Sam Kennedy Trainer: Shawn Mathrick J: Sam Kennedy T: Shawn Mathrick	123	-	-	-	29%
Analysis At the latest run scored a big 5 len win in a Mdn-Sw at Mildura on October 6 over 5f defeating Gamadale Possum with 123lbs at $2.50. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Bairnsdale on September 20 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Luminary Miss with 127lbs at $5.50. Can give a sight again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.