AU - Mornington - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

23.2K

VIEW

Verdict

BALMORAL CASTLE (2) started favourite but couldn't recover from early interference and finished fourth when resuming over 5 ½f at Wyong last start. Clocked in two lengths behind the promising Plaintiff when second-up last prep. Good enough to fully test this field. BEAU STRADA (3) registered her sixth minor placing from eight starts last time out over this trip at Sale. Tricky draw but should run her usual honest race. PASIFAE (10) ran a better race at Sale last weekend and is in the mix on a seven-day back-up. MAJESTIC CHOICE (8) showed enough in her debut campaign to suggest she'll win races. Fitter for a couple of hit outs coming in and she won't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Filly back from a spell of four months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 9 at Warwick Farm Super Mdn January 7 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Erin Jo with 126lbs at $4.40. First up last campaign third of 10 at Warwick Farm Superf&M Mdn-Sw September 24 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Surf's Up with 123lbs at $6. This looks a perfect first-up assignment. 1st Pick 9 Miss Lola Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Chris Waller J: Non Runner T: Chris Waller	108	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Filly back from a spell of four months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 9 at Warwick Farm Super Mdn January 7 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Erin Jo with 126lbs at $4.40. First up last campaign third of 10 at Warwick Farm Superf&M Mdn-Sw September 24 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Surf's Up with 123lbs at $6. This looks a perfect first-up assignment.
2	Second run back. Comes off a 36-day let-up. First-up after four months 4th of 8 at Wyong Super Mdn on April 4 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Take Flight carrying 123lbs at $2.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 at Rosehill F&M Mdn-Sw on November 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Plaintiff carrying 125lbs at $5. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 2nd Pick 2 Balmoral Castle Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Jake Noonan T: Ciaron Maher	107	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 36-day let-up. First-up after four months 4th of 8 at Wyong Super Mdn on April 4 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Take Flight carrying 123lbs at $2.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 at Rosehill F&M Mdn-Sw on November 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Plaintiff carrying 125lbs at $5. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.
1	Resumes after a break of three months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw February 12 over 6f, 3 len behind Plunger with 126lbs at $3.50. When resuming last campaign second of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw January 23 over 5 ½f, a head behind Fundamental Nature with 125lbs at $7.50. Everything points to a bright return. 3rd Pick 1 Afterberna Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Non Runner T: Ciaron Maher	141	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Resumes after a break of three months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw February 12 over 6f, 3 len behind Plunger with 126lbs at $3.50. When resuming last campaign second of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw January 23 over 5 ½f, a head behind Fundamental Nature with 125lbs at $7.50. Everything points to a bright return.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.