AU - Sandown Lakeside - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

35.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Tricky but DENY ENTRY (5) might be able to measure up. He didn't fire on debut but returned with a dominant victory at Cranbourne at big odds, sweeping away late to score by 2.5 lengths on heavy ground. Has clearly come back better and can run another strong race at each way odds. ZEBRA FINCH (3) has been contesting strong 3yo races over the Winter, good to the line behind Clevor Trever in the Silver Bowl Final two back before another sound effort last time. This looks a lovely race for him. TWO SIGMA (10) has been mixing her form but comes right into calculations now after some key scratchings. Rises to a winning trip on the quick turnaround. Can give this a big shake. MORNING DARLING (1) next.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Third race start. First start 8th of 13 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 1m, 10 len behind Redwood Lane with 128lbs at $18. Returned from break won by 2.5 len at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw July 16 over 7 ½f in the wet defeating Tempered Edge with 131lbs at $9. Progressive and can raise the bar. 1st Pick 5 Deny Entry Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Gavin Bedggood J: Will Gordon T: Gavin Bedggood	115	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Third race start. First start 8th of 13 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 1m, 10 len behind Redwood Lane with 128lbs at $18. Returned from break won by 2.5 len at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw July 16 over 7 ½f in the wet defeating Tempered Edge with 131lbs at $9. Progressive and can raise the bar.
3	Most recently 6th of 15 at Flemington 3yo Hcp on July 18 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 4.5 len behind Kaleo with 118lbs at $7.50. The race before that from last on the turn 6th of 12 at Flemington Silverbowl Fnl on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Clevor Trever carrying 119lbs at $12. Rates highly on best form and gets his chance to feature. 2nd Pick 3 Zebra Finch Jockey: Jabez Johnstone Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Jabez Johnstone T: Ciaron Maher	199	-	-	-	58%	8/11
Analysis Most recently 6th of 15 at Flemington 3yo Hcp on July 18 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 4.5 len behind Kaleo with 118lbs at $7.50. The race before that from last on the turn 6th of 12 at Flemington Silverbowl Fnl on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Clevor Trever carrying 119lbs at $12. Rates highly on best form and gets his chance to feature.
7	Third-up today. First-up ran second last of 9 at Caulfield 3yo F Hcp on June 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Afterberna with 126lbs at $41. Improved to fun fourth at Flemington over 7f second up. Fitter again and should go well. 3rd Pick 7 Sky Watcher Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jack Laing J: Non Runner T: Jack Laing	90	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today. First-up ran second last of 9 at Caulfield 3yo F Hcp on June 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Afterberna with 126lbs at $41. Improved to fun fourth at Flemington over 7f second up. Fitter again and should go well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race