AU - Sandown Lakeside - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

38.7K

VIEW

Verdict

FACTCHECK (8) clearly on top. He was a strong winner two back at Pakenham, charging home to just miss there last time as favourite. He can sit handy from the inside gate here and won't need to do anything more to be winning. BLISTERING (3) is in flying form having won her past two, a huge winner in BM62 company two back and too good again at Sandown Hillside last time. Have to respect in this sort of form. HOUSE OF LORDS (12) ran a solid race first up over 7f and will be improved stepping up in trip, just not sure how far back she gets. SAVVIE BLANC (10) is racing consistently and should be thereabouts again. MERCHANT FLYER (5) presents third up off a good run at big odds last time, respecting.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	Recent form sound. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Pakenham Bm70 on March 6 over 1m, head behind Jareth carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Pakenham Bm62 February 5 over 7f defeating Attain with 132lbs at $2.20. Brings the class form, go close. 1st Pick 8 Factcheck Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Craig Williams T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	202	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Pakenham Bm70 on March 6 over 1m, head behind Jareth carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Pakenham Bm62 February 5 over 7f defeating Attain with 132lbs at $2.20. Brings the class form, go close.
3	At the latest run won by 0.8 len at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm70 March 11 over 1m defeating Pula carrying 131lbs at $8.50. The race before that won by 6 len at Sale Bm62 March 1 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Hotei Senshi carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Flying and can measure up again. 2nd Pick 3 Blistering Jockey: Jason Maskiell Trainer: John Pascoe J: Jason Maskiell T: John Pascoe	160	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At the latest run won by 0.8 len at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm70 March 11 over 1m defeating Pula carrying 131lbs at $8.50. The race before that won by 6 len at Sale Bm62 March 1 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Hotei Senshi carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Flying and can measure up again.
12	Second run back. First-up after four months 5th of 12 at Pakenham Bm70 on March 6 over 7f, 4 len behind Betwitchery with 128lbs at $15. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at Pakenham Bm66 on October 17 over 1m, slow going 5.5 len behind Lady Potato Head with 128lbs at $2.80. Rates highly and expected to do much better with that run under her belt. 3rd Pick 12 House Of Lords Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: Peter Gelagotis J: Craig Newitt T: Peter Gelagotis	142	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 5th of 12 at Pakenham Bm70 on March 6 over 7f, 4 len behind Betwitchery with 128lbs at $15. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at Pakenham Bm66 on October 17 over 1m, slow going 5.5 len behind Lady Potato Head with 128lbs at $2.80. Rates highly and expected to do much better with that run under her belt.

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A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.