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5:40 AM

AU - Sandown Lakeside - Race 6

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
10.4f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
35.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Keen to stick with the lightly raced KOMITO (8) who made a nice step forward second up at Sandown Hillside, sitting close to a strong pace and relishing the test to win well over Blue Willow who has won since. The rise to 1 5/16m looks ideal off that and he should be able to go on with it here. Outside of him it's a bit of a raffle. DURBAN HARBOUR (9) put in a good run at Seymour last time to grab third and should be rock hard fit now with the wet track to suit. GIGGENBACH (11) got home well behind Komito last start at a big price and now meets the winner 8lbs better with Shinn taking over. Fitter fourth-up and is a genuine chance to turn the tables. DON'T DOUBT DARE (14) has been holding her own against tougher opposition in town of late and deserves consideration too.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Komito silk

Third-up today. First-up 4th of 13 at Bendigo Bm62 on June 25 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Impending Shadow with 131lbs at $13. Second run from a spell won by 1.3 len at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 July 15 over 1m in heavy going defeating Blue Willow with 116lbs at $4.20. Progressive and form has stacked up - go close again.

1st Pick
8

Komito

Jockey: Jabez Johnstone

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Jabez Johnstone

T: Ciaron Maher

189---43%11/8

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 4th of 13 at Bendigo Bm62 on June 25 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Impending Shadow with 131lbs at $13. Second run from a spell won by 1.3 len at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 July 15 over 1m in heavy going defeating Blue Willow with 116lbs at $4.20. Progressive and form has stacked up - go close again.

10
Omamori silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 10 at Sandown-Hillside 0 - 66 on July 22 over 1 ½m, slow going 2.25 len behind Shultzy carrying 127lbs at $3.80. The run before that 4th of 11 at this track Bm74 on July 1 over 1 ½m, on heavy track, 3 len behind Nearco Frod with 122lbs at $10. Racing well enough to figure from a good gate.

2nd Pick
10

Omamori

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

J: Non Runner

T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

92---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 10 at Sandown-Hillside 0 - 66 on July 22 over 1 ½m, slow going 2.25 len behind Shultzy carrying 127lbs at $3.80. The run before that 4th of 11 at this track Bm74 on July 1 over 1 ½m, on heavy track, 3 len behind Nearco Frod with 122lbs at $10. Racing well enough to figure from a good gate.

9
Durban Harbour silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at Seymour Bm62 on July 19 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 3 len behind Governor King carrying 136lbs at $13. The race before that settled back and ran on when 4th of 8 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 on June 17 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Oak Beach carrying 128lbs at $15. Heading the right way and is a solid each way hope.

3rd Pick
9

Durban Harbour

Jockey: Dylan Dunn

Trainer: J G Symons & S Laxon

J: Dylan Dunn

T: J G Symons & S Laxon

85---7%14/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at Seymour Bm62 on July 19 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 3 len behind Governor King carrying 136lbs at $13. The race before that settled back and ran on when 4th of 8 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 on June 17 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Oak Beach carrying 128lbs at $15. Heading the right way and is a solid each way hope.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.