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6:05 AM

AU - Sandown Hillside - Race 8

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
107.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Have to stick with KING ZEPHYR (13) who finds his race. He pulled up lame fresh over 6f before a huge run at Flemington last time, ridden very cold but reeling off some huge late splits to grab second. He's 3/3 here and gets a lovely little weight swing on BIG SWINGER (12) who just had first run at Flemington from a better spot. That said, he did win it well and gets Craig Williams on here who might look to roll forward and offset the wide gate. RECON (5) will be popular having looked unlucky in the G1 Goodwood last time, just blocked for a run over the concluding stages. 7f looks okay but that wasn't the strongest G1 race when all's said and done. BRAVE ONE (9) just got up late to score last start at Caulfield in similar company and might be able to go on with it now. MERIDIUS (10) struggled in the Goodwood but back up to 7f should suit better.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
13
King Zephyr silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 8 at Caulfield Bm96 on March 21 over 6f, 6 len behind Meridius carrying 126lbs at $3.80. Second run from a spell took up a position near the tail 2nd of 11 at Flemington Bm100 on April 25 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Big Swinger with 121lbs at $2.60. Huge run last time, he can deliver here.

1st Pick
13

King Zephyr

Jockey: Luke Cartwright

Trainer: Grahame Begg

J: Luke Cartwright

T: Grahame Begg

129---27%11/4

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 8 at Caulfield Bm96 on March 21 over 6f, 6 len behind Meridius carrying 126lbs at $3.80. Second run from a spell took up a position near the tail 2nd of 11 at Flemington Bm100 on April 25 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Big Swinger with 121lbs at $2.60. Huge run last time, he can deliver here.

12
Big Swinger silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 4th of 8 at Caulfield Bm96 on March 21 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Meridius with 123lbs at $4.80. Second run from a spell won by 0.5 len at Flemington Bm100 April 25 over 7f defeating King Zephyr carrying 119lbs at $5.50. Beat key rival last time, have to respect.

2nd Pick
12

Big Swinger

Jockey: Craig Williams

Trainer: Charlotte Littlefield

J: Craig Williams

T: Charlotte Littlefield

112---19%9/2

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 4th of 8 at Caulfield Bm96 on March 21 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Meridius with 123lbs at $4.80. Second run from a spell won by 0.5 len at Flemington Bm100 April 25 over 7f defeating King Zephyr carrying 119lbs at $5.50. Beat key rival last time, have to respect.

5
Recon silk

Most recently 6th of 14 at Morphettville in the G1 The Goodwood on May 9 over 6f, slow going 1.3 len behind Desert Lightning carrying 120lbs at $14. Before that won by 1.5 len at Mornington LR Hareeba Stks April 18 over 6f defeating La Fracas carrying 119lbs at $4.80. Unlucky last time, can bounce back.

3rd Pick
5

Recon

Jockey: Patrick Moloney

Trainer: Pat Carey & Harris Walker

J: Patrick Moloney

T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker

115---20%4/1

Analysis

Most recently 6th of 14 at Morphettville in the G1 The Goodwood on May 9 over 6f, slow going 1.3 len behind Desert Lightning carrying 120lbs at $14. Before that won by 1.5 len at Mornington LR Hareeba Stks April 18 over 6f defeating La Fracas carrying 119lbs at $4.80. Unlucky last time, can bounce back.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.