AU - Sandown Hillside - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

274.2K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Open edition of the Sandown Guineas, last year won by Sheza Alibi. Not sure any of these will quite reach her heights but HARRY LIME (4) looks a good each-way bet. He was effectively first up in the Listed Amanda Elliott at Flemington and stuck on well for third. Tipping he'll come on plenty from that and he maps for a lovely run. Liked the maiden win of ANGLAIS (12) last start at Ballarat, bolting in by four lengths. She's an ex-Nick Ryan horse now with Clinton McDonald but fancy she can measure up. STRONG TEMPO (6) got back in a very slowly run G3 Carbine Club at Flemington last time but hit the line well. Probably gets a fair way back again but can figure. MILSONS POINT (1) was just behind Harry Lime at Flemington and meets him much better off at the weights but he's been up a while. MAGNA SENTENTIA (7) bolted in with a Geelong maiden last time over 6 ?f in solid time, turns around quickly here and drawn wide but he's clearly talented.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Most recently sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 in the LR Amanda Elliott (Vrc Springtime Stakes) at Flemington on November 3 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Ranarsson carrying 119lbs at $9.50. The run before that from last on the turn 8th of 14 in the LR Michael Moroney (Exford Plate) at Flemington on September 12 over 7f, 3 len behind Lara Antipova carrying 126lbs at $9. An inside gate is a big advantage. Fitter now and sets up nicely. 1st Pick 4 Harry Lime Jockey: Jordan Childs Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Jordan Childs T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	140	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Most recently sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 in the LR Amanda Elliott (Vrc Springtime Stakes) at Flemington on November 3 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Ranarsson carrying 119lbs at $9.50. The run before that from last on the turn 8th of 14 in the LR Michael Moroney (Exford Plate) at Flemington on September 12 over 7f, 3 len behind Lara Antipova carrying 126lbs at $9. An inside gate is a big advantage. Fitter now and sets up nicely.
12	Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and scored a big 4 len win in a 3yo F Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on October 23 over 7f defeating Vulcana carrying 126lbs at $2.40. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Kilmore on September 28 over 7 ¼f, 8 len behind Skydream carrying 122lbs at $1.65. Dominant latest and can measure up. 2nd Pick 12 Anglais Jockey: Ethan Brown Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald J: Ethan Brown T: Clinton Mcdonald	93	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and scored a big 4 len win in a 3yo F Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on October 23 over 7f defeating Vulcana carrying 126lbs at $2.40. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Kilmore on September 28 over 7 ¼f, 8 len behind Skydream carrying 122lbs at $1.65. Dominant latest and can measure up.
6	Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 9 in the G3 Carbine Club Stakes at Flemington on October 31 over 1m, 2.5 len behind The Roaring Sun with 126lbs at $19. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a nose in a Bm62 at Ballarat on October 9 over 7f defeating Mister Martini carrying 128lbs at $2. Encouraging effort last start. Will take holding out. 3rd Pick 6 Strong Tempo Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Harry Coffey T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	145	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 9 in the G3 Carbine Club Stakes at Flemington on October 31 over 1m, 2.5 len behind The Roaring Sun with 126lbs at $19. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a nose in a Bm62 at Ballarat on October 9 over 7f defeating Mister Martini carrying 128lbs at $2. Encouraging effort last start. Will take holding out.

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A female horse that is four years of age or under.

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