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AU - Sandown Hillside - Race 4

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
8.9f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
89.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Very open. OCEANA DREAM (1) and GENEVA (6) clashed first up at Cranbourne over 1m. Oceana Dream got a long way back as the $3.40 favourite and ran on well for fourth while Geneva, off an SA Derby failure, sat on speed and stuck on well for second. Not much between them but we'll lean the way of Oceana Dream. KILLENAULE (12) was rewarded for consistency last start with a soft win at Cranbourne over 1 ¼m. He might be able to go on with it now. POLITELY DUN (2) couldn't get warm in a stronger race at Flemington last time. He needs luck but will be finishing strongly out wide. TWO WOLVES (3) was solid at Cranbourne last time and is in the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Oceana Dream silk

Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after four months 4th of 10 in a Bm78 at Cranbourne on October 23 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Nation's Call carrying 131lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 in a Bm84 at Caulfield on May 9 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Makdane with 125lbs at $2.30. Fitter and looks a key hope.

1st Pick
1

Oceana Dream

Jockey: Luke Cartwright

Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

J: Luke Cartwright

T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

118---10%9/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after four months 4th of 10 in a Bm78 at Cranbourne on October 23 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Nation's Call carrying 131lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 in a Bm84 at Caulfield on May 9 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Makdane with 125lbs at $2.30. Fitter and looks a key hope.

6
Geneva silk

Second-up. First-up after six months came from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Bm78 at Cranbourne on October 23 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Nation's Call carrying 128lbs at $6. Previously second-up 8th of 13 in the LR Sir Colin Meads Trophy at Ellerslie on September 6 2025 over 6f, slow going 5.5 len behind Affirmative Action carrying 126lbs at $8.30. Better for that and maps very well, go close.

2nd Pick
6

Geneva

Jockey: Blake Shinn

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Blake Shinn

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

170---19%9/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after six months came from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Bm78 at Cranbourne on October 23 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Nation's Call carrying 128lbs at $6. Previously second-up 8th of 13 in the LR Sir Colin Meads Trophy at Ellerslie on September 6 2025 over 6f, slow going 5.5 len behind Affirmative Action carrying 126lbs at $8.30. Better for that and maps very well, go close.

12
Killenaule silk

Dual acceptor. Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, won by 1.75 len in a Bm70 at Cranbourne on October 23 over 1 ¼m defeating Pariah Pearl carrying 125lbs at $2.60. Before that 2nd in a small field in a Bm66 at Pakenham Synthetic on October 2 over 1m, head behind Nothingelsematters carrying 129lbs at $1.85. Harder now but is consistent and has claims.

3rd Pick
12

Killenaule

Jockey: Harry Coffey

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Harry Coffey

T: Ciaron Maher

84---16%11/2

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, won by 1.75 len in a Bm70 at Cranbourne on October 23 over 1 ¼m defeating Pariah Pearl carrying 125lbs at $2.60. Before that 2nd in a small field in a Bm66 at Pakenham Synthetic on October 2 over 1m, head behind Nothingelsematters carrying 129lbs at $1.85. Harder now but is consistent and has claims.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.