AU - Sandown Hillside - Race 3

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

102.8K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

FUNDAMENTAL NATURE (4) is the horse to beat coming off an impressive win at Flemington on Melbourne Cup Day, settling back in the field and rattling home to win by a neck. If anything, this looks a bit easier and the tempo up front looks strong enough for her to finish over the top. PORTER (5) will be up setting that tempo, coming off a good win at Caulfield under 138lbs. Gets relief here and D Lane takes over, he'll take plenty of catching. EL ROCKO (1) hasn't fired this time in but comes a fair way back in grade and is good enough on his day, albeit he's 0/29 on good tracks. GRID GIRL (2) can run well fresh as can ROADCONE (3) who draws for a good run.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	At the latest run settled well back, won by a neck in a Bm90 at Flemington on November 3 over 7f defeating Jett Smash carrying 119lbs at $13. The start before that 5th of 12 in a Bm84 at Caulfield on October 14 over 7 ¼f, 2.25 len behind Buccleuch with 121lbs at $7. Rates highly on recent form, the one to beat. 1st Pick 4 Fundamental Nature Jockey: Ethan Brown Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Ethan Brown T: Ciaron Maher	183	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis At the latest run settled well back, won by a neck in a Bm90 at Flemington on November 3 over 7f defeating Jett Smash carrying 119lbs at $13. The start before that 5th of 12 in a Bm84 at Caulfield on October 14 over 7 ¼f, 2.25 len behind Buccleuch with 121lbs at $7. Rates highly on recent form, the one to beat.
5	Returns from a 31-day let-up. At the latest run won by 0.8 len in a Bm70 at Caulfield on October 14 over 7 ¼f defeating Loud Charlie carrying 138lbs at $4.60. The race before that led to the turn then faded 6th of 12 in a Bm84 at Caulfield on September 19 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Fiorenot with 123lbs at $5. Will be hard to run down. 2nd Pick 5 Porter Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Danny O'brien J: Damian Lane T: Danny O'brien	166	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Returns from a 31-day let-up. At the latest run won by 0.8 len in a Bm70 at Caulfield on October 14 over 7 ¼f defeating Loud Charlie carrying 138lbs at $4.60. The race before that led to the turn then faded 6th of 12 in a Bm84 at Caulfield on September 19 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Fiorenot with 123lbs at $5. Will be hard to run down.
1	Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 in the LR Sale Cup on October 25 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Makdane with 121lbs at $3.80. The run before that faded in the straight 6th of 9 in the G3 Harry White (Moonga) Stakes at Caulfield on October 17 over 7f, 4 len behind War Machine with 128lbs at $81. Will find this more suitable and can improve sharply. 3rd Pick 1 El Rocko Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: John Mcardle J: Jamie Mott T: John Mcardle	172	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 in the LR Sale Cup on October 25 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Makdane with 121lbs at $3.80. The run before that faded in the straight 6th of 9 in the G3 Harry White (Moonga) Stakes at Caulfield on October 17 over 7f, 4 len behind War Machine with 128lbs at $81. Will find this more suitable and can improve sharply.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.