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1:50 AM

AU - Sandown Hillside - Race 2

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6.5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
54.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Tough race. KARREN (12) was beaten at $1.80 last time at Cranbourne but did miss the start there and was used up early. Not making too many excuses because she did end up in a great spot but she's still lightly raced and the market has a high opinion of her. Tipping she can bounce back. BACASH (5) has just found one better his past two starts, beaten under a length after leading at Kyneton last time out. Will roll forward from out wide and give a sight. JUST A JOURNEY (3) resumes from a year-long spell. She'd been close up in some of the better 3yo fillies races last Spring under Michael Freedman, just not sure where she's at here off some mixed jumpout form. Watch the market. ALERO (1) bounced back to form with a good win at Bendigo last time, well ridden on speed. Expect similar tactics here from the inside gate. BEFUDDLE (13) has come back well and is in the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Karren silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 9 in a F&M Bm70 at Cranbourne on October 23 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Bajaria with 130lbs at $1.80. The run before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2 len in a Cl1 at Bendigo on October 4 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Shapenapit carrying 128lbs at $1.45. Can improve again and atone.

1st Pick
12

Karren

Jockey: Jamie Melham

Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell

J: Jamie Melham

T: Lloyd Kennewell

162---31%9/4

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 9 in a F&M Bm70 at Cranbourne on October 23 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Bajaria with 130lbs at $1.80. The run before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2 len in a Cl1 at Bendigo on October 4 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Shapenapit carrying 128lbs at $1.45. Can improve again and atone.

5
Bacash silk

Form hard to fault. Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd in a small field in a Bm74 at Kyneton on November 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Arcandam with 131lbs at $3.20. Before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 16 in a Bm70 at Morphettville on October 17 over 6f, nose behind Anotherhouse with 129lbs at $3.60. Going well and should take beating again.

2nd Pick
5

Bacash

Jockey: Craig Williams

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Craig Williams

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

183---14%13/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd in a small field in a Bm74 at Kyneton on November 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Arcandam with 131lbs at $3.20. Before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 16 in a Bm70 at Morphettville on October 17 over 6f, nose behind Anotherhouse with 129lbs at $3.60. Going well and should take beating again.

3
Just A Journey silk

Mare back from a spell of a year. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign 11th of 13 at Flemington in the G1 Vrc Oaks November 6 2025 over 1/16m, 19 len behind Strictly Business carrying 123lbs at $16. When resuming last campaign second of 7 at Warwick Farm F&M Bm72 September 3 2025 over 7f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Tuileries with 126lbs at $4.40. Talented mare, watch the betting off a long break.

3rd Pick
3

Just A Journey

Jockey: Damian Lane

Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman

J: Damian Lane

T: Anthony & Sam Freedman

96---6%18/1

Analysis

Mare back from a spell of a year. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign 11th of 13 at Flemington in the G1 Vrc Oaks November 6 2025 over 1/16m, 19 len behind Strictly Business carrying 123lbs at $16. When resuming last campaign second of 7 at Warwick Farm F&M Bm72 September 3 2025 over 7f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Tuileries with 126lbs at $4.40. Talented mare, watch the betting off a long break.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.