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1:20 AM

AU - Sandown Hillside - Race 1

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
11.9f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
102.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Keen to start Orr/Zipping day off with the lightly raced ICHNUSA (12) who looks beautifully placed up to 1 ½m third up. He'd shown plenty of staying ability earlier this year, winning in city grade over 1 ¼m at his second start and two runs back this time in have been good from tough spots. Rattled home on Cup day to grab fourth and finds an ideal race third up. MR O'REILLY (11) did beat Ichnusa home at Flemington last time when second to the progressive Yauson. Had every chance on speed there but the trip won't worry him and he gets map favours again. FEDERER (6) was okay in the same race last time dropping back to 1 ¼m. His run over this trip prior was good and Zahra on is a positive. FIOROWNGOOD (8) is flying with four straight wins, this is tougher but he warrants respect. JOHNICH (3) struggled in the key lead up but is better than that.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Ichnusa silk

Third-up today. Resuming eased back early on 7th of 10 in a Bm80 Grand Hcp at Caulfield on October 10 over 1 ¹/16m, 3.5 len behind In'kantosstar carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Last start 4th of 18 in a Bm80 at Flemington on November 3 over 1 ¼m, slow going 3 len behind Yauson carrying 126lbs at $5. Plenty of upside and should be very hard to beat up in trip.

1st Pick
12

Ichnusa

Jockey: Thomas Stockdale

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Thomas Stockdale

T: Ciaron Maher

127---40%6/4

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming eased back early on 7th of 10 in a Bm80 Grand Hcp at Caulfield on October 10 over 1 ¹/16m, 3.5 len behind In'kantosstar carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Last start 4th of 18 in a Bm80 at Flemington on November 3 over 1 ¼m, slow going 3 len behind Yauson carrying 126lbs at $5. Plenty of upside and should be very hard to beat up in trip.

11
Mr O'reilly silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 18 in a Bm80 at Flemington on November 3 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Yauson carrying 127lbs at $21. The run before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 in a Bm70 at Geelong on October 21 over 1 ½m, 1.5 len behind Fiorowngood carrying 133lbs at $3.40. Knocking on the door and will take catching.

2nd Pick
11

Mr O'reilly

Jockey: Craig Williams

Trainer: Richard Laming

J: Craig Williams

T: Richard Laming

103---20%4/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 18 in a Bm80 at Flemington on November 3 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Yauson carrying 127lbs at $21. The run before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 in a Bm70 at Geelong on October 21 over 1 ½m, 1.5 len behind Fiorowngood carrying 133lbs at $3.40. Knocking on the door and will take catching.

6
Federer silk

Dual acceptor. At the latest run sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 18 in a Bm80 at Flemington on November 3 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Yauson carrying 131lbs at $13. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 in a Bm84 at Caulfield on October 14 over 1 ½m, 2.5 len behind Autumnheat with 122lbs at $8.50. Best is good enough.

3rd Pick
6

Federer

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Non Runner

T: Ciaron Maher

138---1%1000/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. At the latest run sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 18 in a Bm80 at Flemington on November 3 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Yauson carrying 131lbs at $13. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 in a Bm84 at Caulfield on October 14 over 1 ½m, 2.5 len behind Autumnheat with 122lbs at $8.50. Best is good enough.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.