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4:40 AM

AU - Sandown Hillside - Race 1

Thoroughbred
6 Runners
11.9f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
37.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

POLITELY DUN (2) has found the perfect race, especially with the main danger coming out. He's been up a while and is struggling to win but has been good to the line in stronger races. The lack of tempo is the concern but he shouldn't be far away in the small field and should be overhauling them late. NO RUMOURS (6) has been okay in two runs back from a spell and drops down to the minimum here. He can improve again. AMIZETTA (5) won well at Geelong last time out in a BM66. This is a bit harder but winning form is worth a bit in this. EAGLE ANGEL (3) might get map favours out in front with the 7lbs claim and could bounce back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
American Wolf silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 7th of 10 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 on December 20 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Angland carrying 134lbs at $26. Second-up 3rd of 9 at Flemington Bm78 on January 10 over 1 ¼m, 1.5 len behind Sun Gift carrying 126lbs at $13. Fitter now and making headway. Ready to peak and this trip suits.

1st Pick
1

American Wolf

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

J: Non Runner

T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

166---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 7th of 10 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 on December 20 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Angland carrying 134lbs at $26. Second-up 3rd of 9 at Flemington Bm78 on January 10 over 1 ¼m, 1.5 len behind Sun Gift carrying 126lbs at $13. Fitter now and making headway. Ready to peak and this trip suits.

2
Politely Dun silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 10 at Flemington Bm78 on January 17 over 1/16m, 1.1 len behind Dictionary carrying 126lbs at $5.50. Before that 4th of 9 at Flemington Bm78 on January 10 over 1 ¼m, 1.5 len behind Sun Gift carrying 126lbs at $12. Going well for this.

2nd Pick
2

Politely Dun

Jockey: Jordan Childs

Trainer: Danny O'brien

J: Jordan Childs

T: Danny O'brien

215---72%2/5

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 10 at Flemington Bm78 on January 17 over 1/16m, 1.1 len behind Dictionary carrying 126lbs at $5.50. Before that 4th of 9 at Flemington Bm78 on January 10 over 1 ¼m, 1.5 len behind Sun Gift carrying 126lbs at $12. Going well for this.

6
No Rumours silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 4th of 13 at Warrnambool Bm62 on December 31 over 1 ¹/16m, 6 len behind Brung King carrying 130lbs at $7. Last start 6th of 8 at Murray Bridge Bm66 on January 10 over 1 ¼m, 2.25 len behind Full Of Courage carrying 125lbs at $3.30. Likely improver who is among the main chances.

3rd Pick
6

No Rumours

Jockey: Celine Gaudray

Trainer: Paul Preusker

J: Celine Gaudray

T: Paul Preusker

100---15%6/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 4th of 13 at Warrnambool Bm62 on December 31 over 1 ¹/16m, 6 len behind Brung King carrying 130lbs at $7. Last start 6th of 8 at Murray Bridge Bm66 on January 10 over 1 ¼m, 2.25 len behind Full Of Courage carrying 125lbs at $3.30. Likely improver who is among the main chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

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Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.