AU - Caulfield - Race 8

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 7

123.8K

VIEW

Verdict

Open race but the best of ARKANSAW KID (1) would make him the hardest to beat. First up he was solid leading at a good clip in the G3 Aurie's Star giving away weight but this is his best track and trip and with a bit of improvement he looks a strong hop. NDOLA (4) was well backed in the Aurie's Star and ran fourth, he'll settle back and look to rip home with his turn of foot. RECOMMENDATION (7) hasn't won in a long time but is racing well, placing in the G3 Bletchingly behind Cosmic Crusader here last time, albeit he was beaten four lengths. Gets Shinn on and drops in weight here, he'll take catching. MCGAW (10) resumes. He didn't fire in one run last time in but his best, a G2 winner over Tentyris, reads well if he can find it fresh. ASAKURA (11) resumes. He went through the grades nicely last time in and ended up running fourth to star NZ filly Well Written before a break which is outstanding form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Second run back. First-up after four months led but faded 3rd of 8 in the G3 Aurie's Star Handicap at Flemington on August 1 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Boomtown Boss carrying 130lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 14 at Pakenham on December 13 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Warnie with 130lbs at $10. Solid return and best form reads well for this. 1st Pick 1 Arkansaw Kid Jockey: Mark Zahra Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Mark Zahra T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	143	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months led but faded 3rd of 8 in the G3 Aurie's Star Handicap at Flemington on August 1 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Boomtown Boss carrying 130lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 14 at Pakenham on December 13 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Warnie with 130lbs at $10. Solid return and best form reads well for this.
4	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming favourite, won by a head in the LR Santa Ana Lane Sprint Series Final at Flemington on July 4 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Lingani carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell 4th of 8 in the G3 Aurie's Star Handicap at Flemington on August 1 over 6f, 3 len behind Boomtown Boss carrying 120lbs at $3. Will be charging at them with even luck. 2nd Pick 4 Ndola Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jye Mcneil T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	180	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming favourite, won by a head in the LR Santa Ana Lane Sprint Series Final at Flemington on July 4 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Lingani carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell 4th of 8 in the G3 Aurie's Star Handicap at Flemington on August 1 over 6f, 3 len behind Boomtown Boss carrying 120lbs at $3. Will be charging at them with even luck.
7	Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 in the G3 Bletchingly Stakes at this track on July 25 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Cosmic Crusader with 129lbs at $7.50. The race before that got back early 6th of 11 in the G3 Sir John Monash Stakes at this track on July 11 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.0 len behind Winnasedge carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Consistent and should be right there. 3rd Pick 7 Recommendation Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Blake Shinn T: Ciaron Maher	180	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 in the G3 Bletchingly Stakes at this track on July 25 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Cosmic Crusader with 129lbs at $7.50. The race before that got back early 6th of 11 in the G3 Sir John Monash Stakes at this track on July 11 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.0 len behind Winnasedge carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Consistent and should be right there.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.