AU - Caulfield - Race 7

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

9.9f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

696.4K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Field of six for the Might And Power but there's quality at the top. At the prices, BIRDMAN (1) looks some chance of upsetting the very short favourite SHEZA ALIBI (6). Birdman was awesome winning the G1 Underwood here last time, mowing down Cosmic Crusader who has since bolted in with the G1 Turnbull. He's established himself as a genuine weight-for-age star and he has the turn of foot to serve it right up to the favourite. No doubt Sheza Alibi is the one to beat. She's a world class mare who dominated the G1 Makybe Diva second up with an electric change of gear. First try at 1 ¼m but can't see it posing an issue. $1.35 in early betting gives you an indication of the regard she's held in and realistically she should still be too good. TREASURETHE MOMENT (5) was better in the Feehan last time and looks the most likely 3rd placegetter from KINGSWOOD (4) who will be on speed and is racing very well, he can take a bit of running down.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up got back early 6th of 12 in the G1 Memsie Stakes at this track on August 29 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Beiwacht with 130lbs at $61. Second run from a spell won by 1.75 len in the G1 Underwood Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1m defeating Cosmic Crusader with 130lbs at $6. Has proven himself as one of the country's best and he's a genuine hope of knocking off the mare. 1st Pick 1 Birdman Jockey: Ben Melham Trainer: Chris Waller J: Ben Melham T: Chris Waller	190	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up got back early 6th of 12 in the G1 Memsie Stakes at this track on August 29 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Beiwacht with 130lbs at $61. Second run from a spell won by 1.75 len in the G1 Underwood Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1m defeating Cosmic Crusader with 130lbs at $6. Has proven himself as one of the country's best and he's a genuine hope of knocking off the mare.
6	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming came from midfield, 2nd of 11 in the G1 Winx Stakes at Randwick on August 22 over 7f, slow going 1.4 len behind Autumn Glow carrying 125lbs at $3.50. Last start favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.75 len in the G1 Makybe Diva Stakes at Flemington on September 12 over 1m defeating Autumn Boy carrying 125lbs at $1.60. Superstar mare who only has to run the trip to be winning another G1. 2nd Pick 6 Sheza Alibi Jockey: Luke Nolen Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Luke Nolen T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	239	-	-	-	75%	1/3
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming came from midfield, 2nd of 11 in the G1 Winx Stakes at Randwick on August 22 over 7f, slow going 1.4 len behind Autumn Glow carrying 125lbs at $3.50. Last start favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.75 len in the G1 Makybe Diva Stakes at Flemington on September 12 over 1m defeating Autumn Boy carrying 125lbs at $1.60. Superstar mare who only has to run the trip to be winning another G1.
5	Last start 2nd in a small field in the G2 John F Feehan Stakes at this track on September 27 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Pride Of Jenni carrying 126lbs at $8. The race before that raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 10 in the G1 Makybe Diva Stakes at Flemington on September 12 over 1m, 9 len behind Sheza Alibi with 126lbs at $13. Better last time and looks a likely candidate for third. 3rd Pick 5 Treasurethe Moment Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Matt Laurie	147	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Last start 2nd in a small field in the G2 John F Feehan Stakes at this track on September 27 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Pride Of Jenni carrying 126lbs at $8. The race before that raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 10 in the G1 Makybe Diva Stakes at Flemington on September 12 over 1m, 9 len behind Sheza Alibi with 126lbs at $13. Better last time and looks a likely candidate for third.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.