AU - Caulfield - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

8.9f

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

130.1K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Happy to stick with KINGSWOOD (1) off a tough win at Flemington in the Listed Cup Day Plate over this distance, third up there and proving too strong late for a handy field. He's a talented horse who has found his right sort of level and range, and with a repeat performance he looks the one to beat. Not knocking the stablemate CASINO SEVENTEEN (2). He needs another win but his past two have been good - third in the G3 Coongy with 130lbs then a decent fifth in a fast run G3 JRA Cup. He can figure with luck from the inside gate. POISON CHALICE (5) is ready to win. Two runs back have been good, closing off strongly behind Apulia at Flemington last start over 1m. On his day he's certainly got the ability to win this. DETONATOR JACK (3) was much better last time through the Apulia race too. He hasn't won in a long time but should be right there again. RUMBLED AGAIN (6) was a shock winner last time and gets in well but this is harder.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Most recently won by a long-neck at Flemington LR Cup Day Plate November 4 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Saint George carrying 127lbs at $4.40. The run before that 8th of 14 at Rosehill in the G2 Hill Stks on October 11 over 1 ³/16m, 4 len behind Lindermann carrying 130lbs at $7.50. Strong win last time, rates highly again. 1st Pick 1 Kingswood Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Gavin Bedggood J: John Allen T: Gavin Bedggood	172	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Most recently won by a long-neck at Flemington LR Cup Day Plate November 4 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Saint George carrying 127lbs at $4.40. The run before that 8th of 14 at Rosehill in the G2 Hill Stks on October 11 over 1 ³/16m, 4 len behind Lindermann carrying 130lbs at $7.50. Strong win last time, rates highly again.
2	Returns from a 35-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 9 at Moonee Valley in the G3 Jra Cup on October 25 over 1 ¼m, 2.5 len behind Star Of India carrying 127lbs at $4. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 13 at this track in the G3 Coongy on October 15 over 1 ¼m, 0.5 len behind Wootton Verni carrying 130lbs at $31. Coming through strong races, can win. 2nd Pick 2 Casino Seventeen Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Gavin Bedggood J: Billy Egan T: Gavin Bedggood	133	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Returns from a 35-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 9 at Moonee Valley in the G3 Jra Cup on October 25 over 1 ¼m, 2.5 len behind Star Of India carrying 127lbs at $4. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 13 at this track in the G3 Coongy on October 15 over 1 ¼m, 0.5 len behind Wootton Verni carrying 130lbs at $31. Coming through strong races, can win.
5	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 6th of 14 at Gawler Gawl Cup on October 24 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Air Assault with 132lbs at $4.80. Last start 3rd of 11 at Flemington in the LR Chstr Manifold on November 6 over 1m, 1.1 len behind Apulia with 121lbs at $4.40. Coming along well, peaks now and goes close. 3rd Pick 5 Poison Chalice Jockey: Mark Zahra Trainer: Paul Preusker J: Mark Zahra T: Paul Preusker	127	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 6th of 14 at Gawler Gawl Cup on October 24 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Air Assault with 132lbs at $4.80. Last start 3rd of 11 at Flemington in the LR Chstr Manifold on November 6 over 1m, 1.1 len behind Apulia with 121lbs at $4.40. Coming along well, peaks now and goes close.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.