AU - Caulfield - Race 7

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

8.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

89.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Sticking with MADIYYA (15) who went agonisingly close at Flemington last time out, just left with a nose (if that) left to do off a slow speed, diving on the line and just missing the photo. She's building to a win and Mott should have her sweeping into this late. MR BLUNT (14) was a dominant winner two back at Flemington, struggling as a short priced favourite there last time in a bit of a strange race. He can bounce back although a soft track is unknown. FIRST CHORUS (7) is also a bit of a tricky one. She was scratched a couple of times with a foot issue having won very well here two back. She was okay back in trip last week and now backs up quickly to 1 ¹/16m which should suit better, although the draw hurts. NATION'S CALL (5) beat Madiyya last time and has to have some claims up on speed again. THINK GIANT (3) is an import who was last seen in a German Group 1, market best guide off a solid trial win.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
15	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 13 at Flemington Bm78 on June 6 over 1m, on a wet track, nose behind Nation's Call with 126lbs at $5. Before that 3rd of 13 at Flemington F&M Bm78 on May 16 over 7f, head behind Naina with 130lbs at $3.90. Just missed last time and gets her chance to atone. 1st Pick 15 Madiyya Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jamie Mott T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	127	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 13 at Flemington Bm78 on June 6 over 1m, on a wet track, nose behind Nation's Call with 126lbs at $5. Before that 3rd of 13 at Flemington F&M Bm78 on May 16 over 7f, head behind Naina with 130lbs at $3.90. Just missed last time and gets her chance to atone.
14	Comes here off a 42-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 10 at Flemington Bm84 on May 16 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Ghetto Supastar with 120lbs at $1.85. The start before that favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Flemington Bm74 April 25 over 1m defeating Cavalry carrying 125lbs at $16. Can bounce back strongly. 2nd Pick 14 Mr Blunt Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: John Allen T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	128	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Comes here off a 42-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 10 at Flemington Bm84 on May 16 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Ghetto Supastar with 120lbs at $1.85. The start before that favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Flemington Bm74 April 25 over 1m defeating Cavalry carrying 125lbs at $16. Can bounce back strongly.
7	At the latest run 5th of 13 at Flemington F&M Bm90 on June 20 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Stylish with 122lbs at $4.80. The run before that favourite, settled well back, won by 2.25 len at this track F&M Bm78 May 30 over 1m in the wet defeating Enna's Dream carrying 130lbs at $1.65. Interesting preparation but this trip suits much better, hard to beat. 3rd Pick 7 First Chorus Jockey: Molly Bourke Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Molly Bourke T: Lindsey Smith	180	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 13 at Flemington F&M Bm90 on June 20 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Stylish with 122lbs at $4.80. The run before that favourite, settled well back, won by 2.25 len at this track F&M Bm78 May 30 over 1m in the wet defeating Enna's Dream carrying 130lbs at $1.65. Interesting preparation but this trip suits much better, hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.