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4:15 AM

AU - Caulfield - Race 6

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5.5f
OPEN
Turf
GOOD 4
208.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

JIGSAW (1) was an absolute marvel last time in, winning seven in a row including a G1 in New Zealand, a G1 William Reid Stakes here and The Quokka in Perth. He cruised around in a recent barrier trial and gets every chance to keep the ball rolling first up from the inside gate. REY MAGNERIO (2) was only a long neck behind Jigsaw in The Quokka and 1.3 lengths behind in the William Reid. 5 ½f around here is a lovely spot for him and he's got the turn of foot to win. INKARUNA (7) is the one with race fitness, only narrowly beaten by Point Barrow and Bridal Waltz last time. She draws well and can win. FLYING FOR FUN (8) got home well in a messy race fresh, she's got plenty of ability and J-Mac goes aboard. GRAND LARCENY (6) was heavily bet to win a G3 in Adelaide first up last campaign then just missed in the G1 Goodwood. Respecting.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Jigsaw silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation won by long-neck Ascot Quokka April 18 over 6f slow track defeating Rey Magnerio carrying 129lbs at $4. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 0.8 len Ellerslie G1 Sistema Railway January 24 over 6f slow track defeating Arkansaw Kid carrying 126lbs at $7.90. Was a revelation last time in and will be very hard to run down.

1st Pick
1

Jigsaw

Jockey: Logan Bates

Trainer: Cindy Alderson

J: Logan Bates

T: Cindy Alderson

121---40%6/4

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation won by long-neck Ascot Quokka April 18 over 6f slow track defeating Rey Magnerio carrying 129lbs at $4. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 0.8 len Ellerslie G1 Sistema Railway January 24 over 6f slow track defeating Arkansaw Kid carrying 126lbs at $7.90. Was a revelation last time in and will be very hard to run down.

2
Rey Magnerio silk

Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation second of 13 at Ascot Quokka April 18 over 6f, soft track, a long neck behind Jigsaw with 129lbs at $4.60. Previously first up, sixth of 11 at this track in the G1 William Reid March 21 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Jigsaw carrying 129lbs at $21. Sharp sprinter who will take holding out.

2nd Pick
2

Rey Magnerio

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Robbie Griffiths

J: William Pike

T: Robbie Griffiths

135---23%7/2

Analysis

Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation second of 13 at Ascot Quokka April 18 over 6f, soft track, a long neck behind Jigsaw with 129lbs at $4.60. Previously first up, sixth of 11 at this track in the G1 William Reid March 21 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Jigsaw carrying 129lbs at $21. Sharp sprinter who will take holding out.

7
Inkaruna silk

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 8 in a G3 The Heath 1100 Stakes at this track on August 29 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Oliveanotherday with 125lbs at $19. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 in the G3 How Now Stakes at this track on September 19 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Point Barrow carrying 126lbs at $18. Fitter now and making headway. Has race fitness and maps well, big chance.

3rd Pick
7

Inkaruna

Jockey: Craig Williams

Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman

J: Craig Williams

T: Anthony & Sam Freedman

165---9%11/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 8 in a G3 The Heath 1100 Stakes at this track on August 29 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Oliveanotherday with 125lbs at $19. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 in the G3 How Now Stakes at this track on September 19 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Point Barrow carrying 126lbs at $18. Fitter now and making headway. Has race fitness and maps well, big chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.