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3:50 AM

AU - Caulfield - Race 4

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
7.2f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 6
108.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Good little race. EXIT (1) won well on heavy ground at Flemington two back before an excusable run last time in Listed company in Adelaide. She'll get some sting out here and draws for every chance to bounce back to form. Wary of BELLA VERONA (6) who was backed into $1.75 on debut at Cranbourne and won with a bit of arrogance, looping the field from last to win by a length. Quickly up in grade but she looks a good one. Speaking of good ones, TWO TO TANGO (7) bumped into one last start in the form of Concord Connie who demolished her rivals by six lengths. Two To Tango finished second there which may end up looking like top form. BRASS IN POCKET (8) debuted behind Concord Connie at Pakenham when running on well before an easy maiden win at Sale latest, ridden positively there. She can go on with it. CHERISH ME (3) got home quite well fresh in a good race and can improve.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Exit silk

Last start 5th of 11 at Morphettville Parks in the LR Nitschke on April 18 over 7f, 3 len behind Rohesia with 119lbs at $3.60. The start before that came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Flemington 3yo Hcp March 28 over 7f in the wet defeating Chowdown with 119lbs at $8. Suited here and will take beating.

1st Pick
1

Exit

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Non Runner

T: Ciaron Maher

198---1%1000/1

Analysis

Last start 5th of 11 at Morphettville Parks in the LR Nitschke on April 18 over 7f, 3 len behind Rohesia with 119lbs at $3.60. The start before that came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Flemington 3yo Hcp March 28 over 7f in the wet defeating Chowdown with 119lbs at $8. Suited here and will take beating.

6
Bella Verona silk

Getting off the mark on debut, favourite, won by 1.0 len at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw April 17 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Foxsky carrying 126lbs at $1.75. Very soft win on debut, looks an exciting prospect.

2nd Pick
6

Bella Verona

Jockey: Harry Coffey

Trainer: Matt Laurie

J: Harry Coffey

T: Matt Laurie

121---20%4/1

Analysis

Getting off the mark on debut, favourite, won by 1.0 len at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw April 17 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Foxsky carrying 126lbs at $1.75. Very soft win on debut, looks an exciting prospect.

7
Two To Tango silk

Last start 2nd of 12 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp on April 25 over 7f, 6 len behind Concord Connie carrying 123lbs at $31. The start before that 3rd of 7 at Sale Bm62 on April 8 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Rosa Aotearoa with 127lbs at $5. Beaten by a very good one last time, go close here.

3rd Pick
7

Two To Tango

Jockey: Craig Williams

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Craig Williams

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

125---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start 2nd of 12 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp on April 25 over 7f, 6 len behind Concord Connie carrying 123lbs at $31. The start before that 3rd of 7 at Sale Bm62 on April 8 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Rosa Aotearoa with 127lbs at $5. Beaten by a very good one last time, go close here.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.