AU - Caulfield - Race 4

Very tough, largely because a lot of the key chances are looking to the Cups and there may not be much intent to cop a penalty. We'll roll the dice once more with CAMPALDINO (2) who has been disappointing his past two. He backs up from last week where he faded after leading but he's gone way too slow in front again for a horse that lacks any change up speed. If he's ridden aggressively and allowed to roll he can improve out of sight. Very wary of PINHOLE (12) who is terribly in at the weights but is progressive, beating a handy one last time. He'll improve again to this trip and is one that looks 'here to win'. SHOCKLETZ (14) and ZAKOUMA (4) are both assured of Melbourne Cup berths which is the niggle. Shockletz was very good winning last time, Zakouma is ticking along beautifully but expect both are ridden out the back. FUTURE HISTORY (3) tried hard in a slow race second up and looks ready to win from an ideal draw.