AU - Caulfield - Race 3

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

143.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

HARRY'S YACHT (4) looks very well placed again. The stable have worked him out nicely - 7f rolling along on speed is his go, and he won well here in a BM84 with 133lbs last time. He drops 14lbs into this and should take plenty of catching again. ENXUTO (2) has been very good in two runs back, chasing home Birdman in the G2 Blamey Stakes second up. Back to 7f here is only a slight niggle, he'll be very hard to hold out. VEIGHT (1) will find this much easier than the G1 Futurity last time. Jury's out on how well he's going but 128lbs after the claim is winnable. ATHANATOS (3) resumes. He didn't manage a win last campaign but was running well and has each way claims. AL DUCA (5) next best but prefer over further.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Form hard to fault. Last start ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track Bm84 February 21 over 7f defeating Porter with 133lbs at $4.60. Before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track Bm84 on January 31 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Until Valhalla with 133lbs at $8. Plummets in weight and can win again. 1st Pick 4 Harry's Yacht Jockey: Jamie Melham Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Jamie Melham T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	277	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track Bm84 February 21 over 7f defeating Porter with 133lbs at $4.60. Before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track Bm84 on January 31 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Until Valhalla with 133lbs at $8. Plummets in weight and can win again.
2	Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 8 at Flemington in the LR The Elms Hcp on February 14 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Cafe Millenium carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Last start 2nd of 10 at Flemington in the G2 Blamey on February 28 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Birdman carrying 121lbs at $7. Fitter now and making headway. Through good races and looks well placed. 2nd Pick 2 Enxuto Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Robbie Griffiths J: Non Runner T: Robbie Griffiths	159	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 8 at Flemington in the LR The Elms Hcp on February 14 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Cafe Millenium carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Last start 2nd of 10 at Flemington in the G2 Blamey on February 28 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Birdman carrying 121lbs at $7. Fitter now and making headway. Through good races and looks well placed.
1	Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 8 at this track in the G1 Futurity Stakes on February 21 over 7f, 10 len behind Pericles carrying 130lbs at $31. The race before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 8 at this track in the G3 Heffernan on February 7 over 7f, 4 len behind Tom Kitten carrying 130lbs at $6. Far easier now but the weight is a leveller. 3rd Pick 1 Veight Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Jackson Radley T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	177	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 8 at this track in the G1 Futurity Stakes on February 21 over 7f, 10 len behind Pericles carrying 130lbs at $31. The race before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 8 at this track in the G3 Heffernan on February 7 over 7f, 4 len behind Tom Kitten carrying 130lbs at $6. Far easier now but the weight is a leveller.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.