AU - Caulfield - Race 10

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

107.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

SASS APPEAL (11) clearly on top in the last. She had no weight and led at an absolute crawl first up which isn't much of a guide but she still won and it's not like she can't set a much faster tempo - her win in the G2 Kewney Stakes in the Autumn was very good and she'll take all the catching again. TEN COMMANDMENTS (12) is flying and easy enough to line up. He crossed the line with Rise At Dawn two back who Sass Appeal beat fresh. Ten Commandments then won well here last start in a BM90. He draws nicely to sit just off the speed. ANOTHER WIL (1) resumes off a short spell. His fresh run in the G1 Doomben 10,000 was good before being beaten 0.6 lengths in the G1 Kingsford Smith Cup. Query here is the big weight and carpark barrier. RUN HARRY RUN (3) has won both starts this time in from on the speed. He might be a bit underrated, 7f is ideal and Nash sticks. CRAIG (5) finished last (of six) to Sass Appeal but the sectionals were fine off such a slow speed. He can improve.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Second-up. First-up after five months favourite, won by 0.8 len at Flemington on August 1 over 7f defeating Rise At Dawn with 114lbs at $1.45. Previously second-up favourite, won by 1.3 len at Seymour on December 28 over 7f defeating Forever Jo with 123lbs at $1.85. Fitter this time around and can continue her winning ways. Leading contender. 1st Pick 11 Sass Appeal Jockey: Logan Bates Trainer: Danny O'brien J: Logan Bates T: Danny O'brien	151	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months favourite, won by 0.8 len at Flemington on August 1 over 7f defeating Rise At Dawn with 114lbs at $1.45. Previously second-up favourite, won by 1.3 len at Seymour on December 28 over 7f defeating Forever Jo with 123lbs at $1.85. Fitter this time around and can continue her winning ways. Leading contender.
12	Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track on August 15 over 7f in soft going defeating Home Rule carrying 123lbs at $3.60. The race before that 3rd of 11 in a Bm100 at this track on July 11 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Coeur Volante with 110lbs at $2.45. Rates highly and is sure to run well. 2nd Pick 12 Ten Commandments Jockey: Declan Bates Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Declan Bates T: Ciaron Maher	154	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track on August 15 over 7f in soft going defeating Home Rule carrying 123lbs at $3.60. The race before that 3rd of 11 in a Bm100 at this track on July 11 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Coeur Volante with 110lbs at $2.45. Rates highly and is sure to run well.
1	Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation when last of 18 at Eagle Farm in the G1 Stradbroke June 13 over 7f, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Spicy Martini carrying 125lbs at $14. Previously first up, ninth of 15 at Doomben in the G1 Doomben 10,000 May 16 over 6f, soft track, 4 len behind Rothfire with 129lbs at $37. Looks all set for a effective return. 3rd Pick 1 Another Wil Jockey: Jabez Johnstone Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Jabez Johnstone T: Ciaron Maher	167	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation when last of 18 at Eagle Farm in the G1 Stradbroke June 13 over 7f, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Spicy Martini carrying 125lbs at $14. Previously first up, ninth of 15 at Doomben in the G1 Doomben 10,000 May 16 over 6f, soft track, 4 len behind Rothfire with 129lbs at $37. Looks all set for a effective return.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

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A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

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A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.