AU - Caulfield - Race 10

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

143.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

JIGSAW (1) comes back from a successful NZ trip having won the G1 Railway Stakes at Ellerslie when last seen. He's found a rich vein of form of late, winner of his past four, and you could argue all were against better opposition than he finds here. To counter that, he is off 7 weeks and has 134lbs, but he finds a fairly easy lead and he may just be too talented for them. NDOLA (4) is the 'weights' horse, dropping 11lbs from a win at Flemington. He was strongest late there, but staying at 6f and back around a bend is a slight niggle. SHE'S BULLETPROOF (2) was just fair first up in the G1 Oakleigh Plate, a race she ran second in last year. Not sure she's going that well but on her day she'd give it an almighty shake. IMMORTAL STAR (5) next best from RAIKOKE (8) but both would need clear new peaks to be challenging the top few.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second run back. Comes off a 49-day let-up. First-up after two months won by 0.8 len at Ellerslie G1 Sistema Railway January 24 over 6f on a soft track defeating Arkansaw Kid with 126lbs at $7.90. Previously second-up won by a nose at Cranbourne Hcp October 10 over 6f defeating Hedged carrying 131lbs at $11. Big chance to add to the picket fence. Class horse who might just be too good from the top. 1st Pick 1 Jigsaw Jockey: Logan Bates Trainer: Cindy Alderson J: Logan Bates T: Cindy Alderson	226	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 49-day let-up. First-up after two months won by 0.8 len at Ellerslie G1 Sistema Railway January 24 over 6f on a soft track defeating Arkansaw Kid with 126lbs at $7.90. Previously second-up won by a nose at Cranbourne Hcp October 10 over 6f defeating Hedged carrying 131lbs at $11. Big chance to add to the picket fence. Class horse who might just be too good from the top.
4	Form hard to fault. Most recently settled well back, won by a nose at Flemington Bm90 February 14 over 6f defeating Rue De Royale carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Before that came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Flemington Bm84 on January 17 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Supernima carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Gets in well and will be rattling home. 2nd Pick 4 Ndola Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Luke Currie T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	196	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently settled well back, won by a nose at Flemington Bm90 February 14 over 6f defeating Rue De Royale carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Before that came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Flemington Bm84 on January 17 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Supernima carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Gets in well and will be rattling home.
2	Second run back. First-up after three months 9th of 13 at this track in the G1 Oakleigh Plt on February 21 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Tropicus carrying 125lbs at $21. Previously second-up won by a long-neck at this track G3 Northwood Plume October 11 over 6f defeating Gumdrops carrying 128lbs at $3.70. Better than that and is a huge chance on best. 3rd Pick 2 She's Bulletproof Jockey: Ben Melham Trainer: Charlotte Littlefield J: Ben Melham T: Charlotte Littlefield	140	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 9th of 13 at this track in the G1 Oakleigh Plt on February 21 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Tropicus carrying 125lbs at $21. Previously second-up won by a long-neck at this track G3 Northwood Plume October 11 over 6f defeating Gumdrops carrying 128lbs at $3.70. Better than that and is a huge chance on best.

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Furlong

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Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.