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12:20 midnight

AU - Caulfield - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
8.4f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
101.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Tough between the top two but TAKEN (5) gets the nod. He missed the placings for the first time in his career last start but it was in the $1 million Supernova and he was in the market there and has had a soft trial since. Up to 1 ¹/16m should suit nicely now and this is much easier while also dropping in weight. MERRIGOLD (6) is the clear danger. She stepped up to 1m for the first time last week at Flemington and relished it, putting up a career peak with a strong two-length win. Now to 1 ¹/16m but she stays down in the weights and a repeat goes close. VERDAD (3) doesn't win out of turn but was good in the Coastal Classic at Geelong last time when going down narrowly. He should be right there. MILFORD (4) was okay fresh with room to improve and gets fourth spot ahead of TARAMANSOUR (1) who is a query back in trip off his dominant Pakenham Cup win.
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Taramansour silk
1

Taramansour

Jockey: Luke Currie

Trainer: Phillip Stokes

J: Luke Currie

T: Phillip Stokes

155---6%16/1
2
Smokin' Princess silk
2

Smokin' Princess

Jockey: Michael Dee

Trainer: Patrick & Michelle Payne

J: Michael Dee

T: Patrick & Michelle Payne

73---15%6/1
3
Verdad silk
3rd Pick
3

Verdad

Jockey: Patrick Moloney

Trainer: Robbie Griffiths

J: Patrick Moloney

T: Robbie Griffiths

195---17%5/1
4
Milford silk
4

Milford

Jockey: Jackson Radley

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Jackson Radley

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

129---7%14/1
5
Taken silk
1st Pick
5

Taken

Jockey: Jamie Melham

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Jamie Melham

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

184---45%5/4
6
Merrigold silk
2nd Pick
6

Merrigold

Jockey: Jye Mcneil

Trainer: John Sadler

J: Jye Mcneil

T: John Sadler

165---31%9/4
7
Slane silk
7

Slane

Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf

Trainer: Enver Jusufovic

J: Lachlan Neindorf

T: Enver Jusufovic

92---3%40/1

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.