AU - Bendigo - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.3K

VIEW

Verdict

CARNIVAL RICHES (9) was out of the money first up at Tatura but never really got a crack at them. Was well-backed that day and is going better than that run suggests. Dealt a blow with the wide gate, but hopefully that just means she doesn't meet the same trouble as last start. LISA LASS (10) was allowed to drift back from an outside draw last time but found the line strongly to finish fourth, beaten 1.1 lengths, over 7f at Echuca. Outdashed but got home well and appears suited by the longer journey. DETERMINATO (2) turned in a moderate run over this journey last time out, settling in a rearwards position and failing to make an impact when 12th over 1m at Kilmore. Finds a nice race and can feature in the finish. NEWCOMBE (3) is deep into the campaign now and has only won one race, but rarely turns in a poor run and only needs to hold his form to play a key role. FOREST JIM (6) didn't do much at the first four runs back but was an improver last start.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Second-up. First-up after three months 5th of 9 in a Cl1 at Tatura on September 29 over 7 ¼f, 2.75 len behind Mayeki carrying 117lbs at $3.70. Previously second-up 7th of 12 in a Bm62 at Seymour on May 21 over 7f, slow going 6 len behind Thunder Hawk with 130lbs at $15. Totally luckless last start when well-backed and can hit back here despite the wide draw. 1st Pick 9 Carnival Riches Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: Rhys Archard J: Jackson Radley T: Rhys Archard	85	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months 5th of 9 in a Cl1 at Tatura on September 29 over 7 ¼f, 2.75 len behind Mayeki carrying 117lbs at $3.70. Previously second-up 7th of 12 in a Bm62 at Seymour on May 21 over 7f, slow going 6 len behind Thunder Hawk with 130lbs at $15. Totally luckless last start when well-backed and can hit back here despite the wide draw.
10	Second-up. First-up after two months 4th of 11 in a 0 - 56 at Echuca on September 19 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Grunnettan carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 5th of 13 in a 0-60 at Mt Gambier on May 22 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Scenic Host with 129lbs at $2.45. Sure to prove hard to beat from the low draw. 2nd Pick 10 Lisa Lass Jockey: Jason Maskiell Trainer: Toby Lake J: Jason Maskiell T: Toby Lake	106	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months 4th of 11 in a 0 - 56 at Echuca on September 19 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Grunnettan carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 5th of 13 in a 0-60 at Mt Gambier on May 22 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Scenic Host with 129lbs at $2.45. Sure to prove hard to beat from the low draw.
2	Last start ran second last of 13 in a Bm56 at Kilmore on September 28 over 1m, 13 len behind Frostration with 134lbs at $26. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by a nose in a Mdn-Sw at Wangaratta on August 23 over 1m in soft going defeating Unoyaself with 131lbs at $4.80. Nicely placed to bounce back. 3rd Pick 2 Determinato Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Cathleen Wilson J: Linda Meech T: Cathleen Wilson	92	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Last start ran second last of 13 in a Bm56 at Kilmore on September 28 over 1m, 13 len behind Frostration with 134lbs at $26. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by a nose in a Mdn-Sw at Wangaratta on August 23 over 1m in soft going defeating Unoyaself with 131lbs at $4.80. Nicely placed to bounce back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.