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5:46 AM

AU - Bendigo - Race 6

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
15.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FROZEN TIDE (4) changes rider since being well held last time in fifth over 1m at Kilmore on September 13. Beaten less than 1.5 lengths and only a neck the two runs prior in races that probably had a little more depth than this. DRUNKEN SAILOR (7) finished out of the money two starts back then he was always well out of his ground and was beaten 6 lengths when ninth over 7f at Mildura a week-and-a-half ago. Finds a more suitable contest and can get the job done from a favourable alley. BAKERSBEND (1) has form around Drunken Sailor and while he finds it hard to win, with only one victory from 12 starts, he'll be nearing peak fitness now after three runs back. HIDDEN WITNESS (12) bumped into a handy one last start, which made it three seconds in a row this prep. Clearly going well enough, but will need luck from the draw. SAVETHEBESTTILLAST (6) also has a wide draw to overcome but is racing too consistently to discount.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Frozen Tide silk

Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Kilmore on September 13 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Dance Lady carrying 132lbs at $3.20. The run before that 4th of 12 in a Bm56 at Tatura on September 7 over 1m, slow going 1.4 len behind Rogue Warrior with 132lbs at $3.90. Capable of sharp improvement.

1st Pick
4

Frozen Tide

Jockey: Jackie Beriman

Trainer: Shane Fliedner

J: Jackie Beriman

T: Shane Fliedner

111---10%9/1

Analysis

Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Kilmore on September 13 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Dance Lady carrying 132lbs at $3.20. The run before that 4th of 12 in a Bm56 at Tatura on September 7 over 1m, slow going 1.4 len behind Rogue Warrior with 132lbs at $3.90. Capable of sharp improvement.

7
Drunken Sailor silk

Dual acceptor. At the latest run ran last of 9 in a Bm62 at Mildura on October 6 over 7f, 6 len behind Limbering with 123lbs at $14. Before that ran last of 13 in a Bm62 at Swan Hill on September 22 over 1m, 14 len behind Sound Of Jura with 125lbs at $21. Certainly worth another chance.

2nd Pick
7

Drunken Sailor

Jockey: Alana Kelly

Trainer: Con Kelly

J: Alana Kelly

T: Con Kelly

117---4%25/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. At the latest run ran last of 9 in a Bm62 at Mildura on October 6 over 7f, 6 len behind Limbering with 123lbs at $14. Before that ran last of 13 in a Bm62 at Swan Hill on September 22 over 1m, 14 len behind Sound Of Jura with 125lbs at $21. Certainly worth another chance.

1
Bakersbend silk

Comes off a 42 day let-up. Most recently 4th of 13 in a Bm56 at Mildura on September 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind The Cable Guy carrying 132lbs at $15. The race before that 7th of 10 in a Bm56 at Murtoa on August 21 over 6f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Bancoora with 134lbs at $4.60. Ready to peak after three runs back and is a winning chance.

3rd Pick
1

Bakersbend

Jockey: Joe Bowditch

Trainer: Brent Stanley

J: Joe Bowditch

T: Brent Stanley

71---7%14/1

Analysis

Comes off a 42 day let-up. Most recently 4th of 13 in a Bm56 at Mildura on September 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind The Cable Guy carrying 132lbs at $15. The race before that 7th of 10 in a Bm56 at Murtoa on August 21 over 6f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Bancoora with 134lbs at $4.60. Ready to peak after three runs back and is a winning chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.