AU - Bendigo - Race 5

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

18.8K

VIEW

Verdict

FAST FREDDIE (11) showed good early muster and fought on to finish third last start over 6f at Ballarat, which followed a good fresh run when it took a horse who looks like he has gone to a new level since being gelded to beat him. Peak fitness now and draw looks good, so expect him to go close. BAGANOV (4) was good at a decent price first-up, when third, and started much harder in the market last time out when he didn't have everything his own way but still wasn't beaten far. THINKING SENSATION (1) has won two of four this time, the latest a strong one-length win in BM66 grade at Coleraine. Has his share of weight here, but going too well to dismiss. MISS ELLANEOUS (10) scored two back at Bordertown but was below her best last time at Ballarat. This is an easier assignment than that, though, and she comes up with the inside alley. HEAVENLEY EAGLE (2) has raced in better company than most of these and has placed in 4 of 6 fresh runs (2 wins).

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Third-up today. Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 in a Bm62 at Sale on September 13 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Wetumpka carrying 128lbs at $7. Second-up 3rd of 9 in a 3yo Bm64 at Ballarat on September 30 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Hydro Rush with 131lbs at $10. Progressive type who finds the right race to win again. 1st Pick 11 Fast Freddie Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Damien Thornton T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	151	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 in a Bm62 at Sale on September 13 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Wetumpka carrying 128lbs at $7. Second-up 3rd of 9 in a 3yo Bm64 at Ballarat on September 30 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Hydro Rush with 131lbs at $10. Progressive type who finds the right race to win again.
4	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 11 in a Bm62 at this track on September 6 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.1 len behind Shamansara carrying 132lbs at $14. Second run from a spell held ground to the line 3rd of 9 in a Cl1 at Tatura on September 29 over 7 ¼f, 2 len behind Mayeki carrying 132lbs at $3.10. Well placed. One of the chief contenders. 2nd Pick 4 Baganov Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Nick Ryan J: Brad Rawiller T: Nick Ryan	106	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 11 in a Bm62 at this track on September 6 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.1 len behind Shamansara carrying 132lbs at $14. Second run from a spell held ground to the line 3rd of 9 in a Cl1 at Tatura on September 29 over 7 ¼f, 2 len behind Mayeki carrying 132lbs at $3.10. Well placed. One of the chief contenders.
1	Most recently won by 1.0 len in a Bm66 at Coleraine on September 25 over 6 ½f defeating Racey Casey with 127lbs at $4.80. The race before that didn't do much in the run home, 8th of 11 in a Bm56 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 31 over 7f, 7 len behind Sacramental with 131lbs at $3.30. Top-three prospects. 3rd Pick 1 Thinking Sensation Jockey: Neil Farley Trainer: Matt Cumani J: Neil Farley T: Matt Cumani	105	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Most recently won by 1.0 len in a Bm66 at Coleraine on September 25 over 6 ½f defeating Racey Casey with 127lbs at $4.80. The race before that didn't do much in the run home, 8th of 11 in a Bm56 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 31 over 7f, 7 len behind Sacramental with 131lbs at $3.30. Top-three prospects.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.