AU - Bendigo - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.3K

VIEW

Verdict

The Price/Kent team could not have hoped to find a more suitable race for LET LILY LOOSE (13). Beat home all bar Watersports - who then went on to win the G3 Blue Sapphire - on debut and the jumpouts since have been more than adequate for a daughter of Savabeel. She's drawn out, but that should provide a nice flowing run and expect her to be strong late. Hard to sort out the rest. SUPER DIRTY (10) finished out of the money when fresh from a spell two starts back then was beaten 4.5 lengths when sixth in a 6f contest at Echuca. Peak fitness now and draws the inside. PATRIOT WOLF (8) should also be ready after two runs back from a good draw. Missed the placings two starts back when resuming then ran a better race and finished 2.75 lengths away in sixth last time out over 7f at Cranbourne. SOME CHANCE (14) has a wide gate to overcome but might have more upside than most. CAPE RADSTOCK (11) closed off OK first-up and can progress here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
13	Resumes from a spell after only one run when held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on November 7 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.5 len behind Motorsports carrying 123lbs at $11. Took a smart one to beat her on debut and this looks a nice progression after some good jumpouts. 1st Pick 13 Let Lily Loose Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Thomas Stockdale T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	204	-	-	-	67%
Analysis Resumes from a spell after only one run when held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on November 7 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.5 len behind Motorsports carrying 123lbs at $11. Took a smart one to beat her on debut and this looks a nice progression after some good jumpouts.
10	Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 13 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on February 14 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Lonstar carrying 127lbs at $26. Second run from a spell 6th of 14 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on March 8 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Here Comes Wozza with 127lbs at $4.80. Racing well. Better for two runs back and inside draw is a big plus. 2nd Pick 10 Super Dirty Jockey: Rhys Mcleod Trainer: Tim Fitzsimmons J: Rhys Mcleod T: Tim Fitzsimmons	95	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 13 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on February 14 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Lonstar carrying 127lbs at $26. Second run from a spell 6th of 14 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on March 8 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Here Comes Wozza with 127lbs at $4.80. Racing well. Better for two runs back and inside draw is a big plus.
8	Third-up today. Resuming ran last of 10 at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 20 over 1m, 12 len behind Lunar Force with 128lbs at $7.50. Second-up 6th of 12 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 13 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Cadillac Sam with 128lbs at $151. Terrific chance to return to form. 3rd Pick 8 Patriot Wolf Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Glen Thompson J: Jett Stanley T: Glen Thompson	111	-	-	-	4%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming ran last of 10 at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 20 over 1m, 12 len behind Lunar Force with 128lbs at $7.50. Second-up 6th of 12 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 13 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Cadillac Sam with 128lbs at $151. Terrific chance to return to form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.