AU - Ballarat - Race 8

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Synthetic

GOOD

15.1K

VIEW

Verdict

EAU DE COLOGNE (6) is the fascinating runner in the last. He switched to this track last time out and absolutely bolted in, destroying his rivals by over five lengths. Lucinda Boyd is looking to make hay while the sun shines and backs up quickly - if he repeats that he'll win again albeit she does draw very wide. SHOOTER MCGAVIN (1) has just been edged out in his past couple, sitting on a slow speed last time when beaten by the barest of margins. Down in grade again and will take plenty of catching. BLACKLIP (7) ran on well for third here last time out and has each-way claims off that. FALSTAFFIAN (4) was too bad to be true in Adelaide last time. The fresh maiden win was dominant and he can bounce back. QUEEN BEIRA (12) just found one better here last time and is in the mix again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third-up today. First-up 6th of 13 at Bendigo 0 - 56 on June 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Flying Jude with 130lbs at $16. Second run from a spell scored a big 5.5 len win at this track Bm56 June 26 over 7 ½f defeating She's A Con with 130lbs at $5.50. Dominant here last time and with even luck will go close again. 1st Pick 6 Eau De Cologne Jockey: Lucinda Boyd Trainer: Lucinda Boyd J: Lucinda Boyd T: Lucinda Boyd	85	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 6th of 13 at Bendigo 0 - 56 on June 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Flying Jude with 130lbs at $16. Second run from a spell scored a big 5.5 len win at this track Bm56 June 26 over 7 ½f defeating She's A Con with 130lbs at $5.50. Dominant here last time and with even luck will go close again.
1	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd in a small field at this track Bm66 on June 24 over 7f, nose behind Male Model with 131lbs at $2.90. Before that 2nd of 9 at this track Bm66 on June 16 over 7f, long-neck behind Life Sentence carrying 131lbs at $4. Knocking on the door and will take catching. 2nd Pick 1 Shooter Mcgavin Jockey: Jade Smith Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Jade Smith T: Shane Jackson	152	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd in a small field at this track Bm66 on June 24 over 7f, nose behind Male Model with 131lbs at $2.90. Before that 2nd of 9 at this track Bm66 on June 16 over 7f, long-neck behind Life Sentence carrying 131lbs at $4. Knocking on the door and will take catching.
7	At the latest run made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track Bm56 on June 21 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Isdell with 134lbs at $4.20. Before that 8th of 10 at Kilmore Bm56 on June 1 over 7 ¼f, on a wet track, 12 len behind Moonbolt with 136lbs at $7. Should go well again. 3rd Pick 7 Blacklip Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Nick Ryan J: Unknown Jockey T: Nick Ryan	131	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis At the latest run made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track Bm56 on June 21 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Isdell with 134lbs at $4.20. Before that 8th of 10 at Kilmore Bm56 on June 1 over 7 ¼f, on a wet track, 12 len behind Moonbolt with 136lbs at $7. Should go well again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.