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6:30 AM

AU - Ballarat - Race 8

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
8f
OPEN
Turf
GOOD 4
71.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

On to our feature of the day with some good milers for the Gold Nugget. Siding with AL DUCA (2) who was effectively first up at Caulfield over 7f off a let-up and just battled after racing very wide throughout. His form over this trip reads well and he gets the golden switch to barrier one. PRINCE ERIC (13) won well from the back at Caulfield two back before an even effort last time. Off a let-up and back to a mile looks okay. TEN COMMANDMENTS (6) continues to race very well. Likely finds a fast deck here which is a query but he's hard to ignore. CRAIG (3) is capable of better than he has shown of late, including a last start seventh at Caulfield. Fitter third-up and could improve into a place.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Al Duca silk

At the latest run 8th of 12 in a Bm100 at Caulfield on August 29 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Fancify carrying 131lbs at $18. The race before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 13 in the LR VRC Winter Championship Final at Flemington on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Detonator Jack carrying 127lbs at $2.80. Best form reads well for this.

1st Pick
2

Al Duca

Jockey: Damian Lane

Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman

J: Damian Lane

T: Anthony & Sam Freedman

194---29%5/2

Analysis

At the latest run 8th of 12 in a Bm100 at Caulfield on August 29 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Fancify carrying 131lbs at $18. The race before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 13 in the LR VRC Winter Championship Final at Flemington on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Detonator Jack carrying 127lbs at $2.80. Best form reads well for this.

1
Detonator Jack silk

Racing well recently. Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 in a Bm100 at Caulfield on August 15 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Darkbonee with 130lbs at $8. The start before that 2nd of 10 in a Bm100 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 1m, slow going long-neck behind First Chorus with 131lbs at $18. Racing well and will be charging home.

2nd Pick
1

Detonator Jack

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Non Runner

T: Ciaron Maher

165---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Racing well recently. Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 in a Bm100 at Caulfield on August 15 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Darkbonee with 130lbs at $8. The start before that 2nd of 10 in a Bm100 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 1m, slow going long-neck behind First Chorus with 131lbs at $18. Racing well and will be charging home.

13
Prince Eric silk

Returns from a 55-day let-up. Most recently 9th of 14 in a Bm84 at Caulfield on July 25 over 1 ¼m, slow going 6 len behind Amleto with 129lbs at $11. The race before that won by 0.5 len in a Bm84 at Caulfield on July 11 over 1 ¼m on a soft track defeating Amleto carrying 120lbs at $7.50. Can bounce back.

3rd Pick
13

Prince Eric

Jockey: Declan Bates

Trainer: Archie Alexander

J: Declan Bates

T: Archie Alexander

105---10%9/1

Analysis

Returns from a 55-day let-up. Most recently 9th of 14 in a Bm84 at Caulfield on July 25 over 1 ¼m, slow going 6 len behind Amleto with 129lbs at $11. The race before that won by 0.5 len in a Bm84 at Caulfield on July 11 over 1 ¼m on a soft track defeating Amleto carrying 120lbs at $7.50. Can bounce back.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.