AU - Ballarat - Race 7

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Synthetic

GOOD

27.5K

VIEW

Verdict

LAKE FOREST (5) was having his first run for the new yard at Pakenham Synthetic first up and won his maiden in fine style over this distance, coming away to score by two lengths as favourite. Looks set to go on with it this time in having always shown good ability. There's been very little between EL PIBE DE ORO (4) and CUMBOOGLE (6) in two runs over this route with Cumboogle upsetting El Pibe De Oro on both occasions. The weights are really starting to swing towards the latter now but Cumboogle has gone up at another big price and can certainly outrun those odds again. MARTIAL MUSIC (1) resumes. First go on synthetic for a new yard but he's a speedy type who can run well. MEISHO (9) has the ability to figure here on her first synthetic try.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Second run back. First-up after seven months favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at Pakenham Synthetic Bm62 June 15 over 5f defeating Mafee carrying 134lbs at $2.15. Previously second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Sale Bm62 on September 14 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind Sea Poem carrying 136lbs at $5.50. Relished the synthetic fresh and can go on with it here. 1st Pick 5 Lake Forest Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Peter Gelagotis J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Peter Gelagotis	152	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at Pakenham Synthetic Bm62 June 15 over 5f defeating Mafee carrying 134lbs at $2.15. Previously second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Sale Bm62 on September 14 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind Sea Poem carrying 136lbs at $5.50. Relished the synthetic fresh and can go on with it here.
4	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 8 at this track Bm66 on June 24 over 5f, head behind Cumboogle carrying 134lbs at $2.60. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at this track Bm66 on June 16 over 5f, nose behind Cumboogle carrying 134lbs at $3.20. Knocking on the door and should go close again. 2nd Pick 4 El Pibe De Oro Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Nick Ryan J: Unknown Jockey T: Nick Ryan	141	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 8 at this track Bm66 on June 24 over 5f, head behind Cumboogle carrying 134lbs at $2.60. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at this track Bm66 on June 16 over 5f, nose behind Cumboogle carrying 134lbs at $3.20. Knocking on the door and should go close again.
6	Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run won by a head at this track Bm66 June 24 over 5f defeating El Pibe De Oro carrying 125lbs at $7.50. The run before that won by a nose at this track Bm66 June 16 over 5f defeating El Pibe De Oro with 119lbs at $12. Flying, no reason he can't be too tough again. 3rd Pick 6 Cumboogle Jockey: Mitchell Aitken Trainer: Leslie Robertson J: Mitchell Aitken T: Leslie Robertson	88	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run won by a head at this track Bm66 June 24 over 5f defeating El Pibe De Oro carrying 125lbs at $7.50. The run before that won by a nose at this track Bm66 June 16 over 5f defeating El Pibe De Oro with 119lbs at $12. Flying, no reason he can't be too tough again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.