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5:00 AM

AU - Ballarat - Race 6

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5.5f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 5
22.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FROSTED IN TIME (1) couldn't have been much more impressive last start winning his maiden by 9 lengths at Kilmore having started hard in the market in a strongly run, high rating maiden at Echuca first up, where the form has worked out very well. He looks very progressive and really should be winning again. HIATUS (6) resumed with a solid run here over 5f having shown good ability last time in, fifth in a listed race the highlight. Fitter now and the rise in trip suits. DEMARCATE (2) is a lightly raced type who blew the cobwebs off fresh in a 4 ¾f race at Cranbourne, not far away. Suspect he can improve over this trip for the Hayes yard. TORVEGA (7) is racing well this time in and should be thereabouts once more.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Frosted In Time silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming came from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on October 20 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Vangogh Bankcheque carrying 131lbs at $2.70. Second-up favourite, won by 9 len at Kilmore 4yo+ Mdn-Sw October 31 over 5 ½f defeating Brazen Fling carrying 131lbs at $1.70. Dominant last time, looks the one to beat off that.

1st Pick
1

Frosted In Time

Jockey: Cory Parish

Trainer: Alicia Macpherson

J: Cory Parish

T: Alicia Macpherson

162---40%6/4

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming came from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on October 20 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Vangogh Bankcheque carrying 131lbs at $2.70. Second-up favourite, won by 9 len at Kilmore 4yo+ Mdn-Sw October 31 over 5 ½f defeating Brazen Fling carrying 131lbs at $1.70. Dominant last time, looks the one to beat off that.

6
Hiatus silk

Second-up. First-up after eight months 2nd of 7 at this track Bm62 on November 3 over 5f, on a wet track, 2.25 len behind Demojo carrying 126lbs at $3.30. Previously second-up 10th of 15 at Flemington in the G2 Vrc Sires' on March 8 over 7f, 9 len behind Vinrock carrying 121lbs at $18. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

2nd Pick
6

Hiatus

Jockey: Luke Currie

Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

J: Luke Currie

T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

153---34%2/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after eight months 2nd of 7 at this track Bm62 on November 3 over 5f, on a wet track, 2.25 len behind Demojo carrying 126lbs at $3.30. Previously second-up 10th of 15 at Flemington in the G2 Vrc Sires' on March 8 over 7f, 9 len behind Vinrock carrying 121lbs at $18. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

2
Demarcate silk

Second run back. First-up after four months 7th of 10 at Cranbourne Bm62 on October 31 over 4 ¾f, 2 len behind Hustle In Heels with 127lbs at $5. Previously second-up ran last of 11 at Sandown-Hillside 2yo Hcp on June 14 over 5f, slow going 7 len behind Hello Romeo carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Can improve quickly here.

3rd Pick
2

Demarcate

Jockey: Michael Dee

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Michael Dee

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

159---16%11/2

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months 7th of 10 at Cranbourne Bm62 on October 31 over 4 ¾f, 2 len behind Hustle In Heels with 127lbs at $5. Previously second-up ran last of 11 at Sandown-Hillside 2yo Hcp on June 14 over 5f, slow going 7 len behind Hello Romeo carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Can improve quickly here.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.