AU - Ballarat - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

10.4f

Benchmark

Synthetic

GOOD

24.1K

VIEW

Verdict

PHAROAH'S GLORY (3) switches to synthetic for the first time. She was in the market but failed to fire at Swan Hill last time out, now coming back a notch or two in grade. The win prior, albeit on heavy ground, was dominant and she's certainly up to this on class if she handles the surface. GOOD HARMONY (5) had her first run on a synthetic track last time at Pakenham and ran well for third having contested a much tougher race at Flemington prior. She'll be hard to hold out. JAZ TYCOON (1) is racing well with two wins from his past three. He won well here last time out in a similar race and is now 2/2 here which is key on a tricky track to get a read on. TRADEWORX (8) likes it here having missed the placings for the first time on this track last start and he finished fourth. Drops 7lbs for this and has claims. ZEACTION (4) can run well first go on synthetic.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run sat on the speed throughout before fading 10th of 13 at Swan Hill Bm70 on June 5 over 1m, slow going 5.5 len behind Beach Pad carrying 120lbs at $5.50. The start before that scored a big 7 len win at Stawell Bm56 May 18 over 1m in heavy going defeating Catch A Break with 131lbs at $6. Hard to beat on her best form. 1st Pick 3 Pharoah's Glory Jockey: Neil Farley Trainer: Patrick Kearney J: Neil Farley T: Patrick Kearney	155	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run sat on the speed throughout before fading 10th of 13 at Swan Hill Bm70 on June 5 over 1m, slow going 5.5 len behind Beach Pad carrying 120lbs at $5.50. The start before that scored a big 7 len win at Stawell Bm56 May 18 over 1m in heavy going defeating Catch A Break with 131lbs at $6. Hard to beat on her best form.
5	Most recently 3rd of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm62 on June 15 over 1m, 3 len behind Quite The Lass carrying 127lbs at $10. The run before that 12th of 17 at Flemington 3yo Hcp on May 16 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Brave Danza carrying 119lbs at $201. Making headway. Should take holding out. 2nd Pick 5 Good Harmony Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Peter Gelagotis J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Peter Gelagotis	151	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm62 on June 15 over 1m, 3 len behind Quite The Lass carrying 127lbs at $10. The run before that 12th of 17 at Flemington 3yo Hcp on May 16 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Brave Danza carrying 119lbs at $201. Making headway. Should take holding out.
1	Form hard to fault. Last start won by 1.75 len at this track Bm56 June 21 over 1m defeating Grunnettan carrying 137lbs at $4.80. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at Mt Gambier Bm58 on June 10 over 1m, in the wet, 4 len behind Scenic Host carrying 134lbs at $14. Boasts a 100% record at this track and should go close again. 3rd Pick 1 Jaz Tycoon Jockey: Cian Macredmond Trainer: Melody Cunningham J: Cian Macredmond T: Melody Cunningham	91	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start won by 1.75 len at this track Bm56 June 21 over 1m defeating Grunnettan carrying 137lbs at $4.80. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at Mt Gambier Bm58 on June 10 over 1m, in the wet, 4 len behind Scenic Host carrying 134lbs at $14. Boasts a 100% record at this track and should go close again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.