AU - Ballarat - Race 5

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

16.2f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

24.7K

VIEW

Verdict

CHARLIE MESSY HAIR (2) has been a model of consistency of late with a couple of good jumps efforts either side of a flat placing. Beaten 10 lengths last start but the winner of that race is not here and he's not racing anything like he's nearing the end of the preparation. RAISE THE NOTE (4) finished second two back at Coleraine then stepped up to the Crisp Steeplechase, when a 14-length fifth. He'll find this infinitely easier and might be ready for the best run of the prep. FIERCE FLIGHT (3) was beaten a long way last start, but that was in the Grand National, so he'll find this more to his liking and he hasn't had any many starts this prep as most other rivals so he could have a bit of improvement to come. BAZINI (1) was pretty ordinary at the first two runs after his Warrnambool win but was only 4-1/4 lengths behind Charlie Messy Hair last start, so he might have turned the corner. BENBULBEN (5) might be best of the rest with improvement to come.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Recent form impressive for this race. Last run made some head-way from midfield, finished second in a small field at Casterton Chase on August 9 over 2 5/16m, on slow going 10 len behind Christmas with 153lbs at $3.40. Race before finished third of 8 runners at Geelong Mdn-Sw on July 31 over 1 ½m, slow track, 1.2 len behind The Victorious carrying 131lbs at $14. Continues to make headway. Very hard to beat this time. 1st Pick 2 Charlie Messy Hair Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Jessica Pateman J: Will Gordon T: Jessica Pateman	183	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Recent form impressive for this race. Last run made some head-way from midfield, finished second in a small field at Casterton Chase on August 9 over 2 5/16m, on slow going 10 len behind Christmas with 153lbs at $3.40. Race before finished third of 8 runners at Geelong Mdn-Sw on July 31 over 1 ½m, slow track, 1.2 len behind The Victorious carrying 131lbs at $14. Continues to make headway. Very hard to beat this time.
4	Last run finished fifth of 7 starters at Sandown-Lakeside Crisp Stpl on August 2 over 2/16m, slow track, 14 len behind Sing For Peace with 143lbs at $41. Start before finished second of 8 runners at Coleraine Chase on July 19 over 2 ³/16m, on slow going 2.5 len behind Lucky Chance with 143lbs at $8.50. Continues to improve. Rates strongly on latest and expected to feature in the finish again. 2nd Pick 4 Raise The Note Jockey: Martin Kelly Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Martin Kelly T: Shane Jackson	109	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last run finished fifth of 7 starters at Sandown-Lakeside Crisp Stpl on August 2 over 2/16m, slow track, 14 len behind Sing For Peace with 143lbs at $41. Start before finished second of 8 runners at Coleraine Chase on July 19 over 2 ³/16m, on slow going 2.5 len behind Lucky Chance with 143lbs at $8.50. Continues to improve. Rates strongly on latest and expected to feature in the finish again.
3	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up finished third of 10 runners at Hamilton Mdn Chase on July 12 over 2 ¹/16m, in the wet, 12 len behind Ongatiti carrying 150lbs at $16. Second-up ran last in a small field at Sandown-Lakeside Gn Hdle on August 2 over 2/16m, on a wet track, 48 len behind Andy Win carrying 141lbs at $41. Can hit back hard here. Sure to prove harder to beat this time. 3rd Pick 3 Fierce Flight Jockey: Luca Remondet Trainer: Mark Walker J: Luca Remondet T: Mark Walker	137	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up finished third of 10 runners at Hamilton Mdn Chase on July 12 over 2 ¹/16m, in the wet, 12 len behind Ongatiti carrying 150lbs at $16. Second-up ran last in a small field at Sandown-Lakeside Gn Hdle on August 2 over 2/16m, on a wet track, 48 len behind Andy Win carrying 141lbs at $41. Can hit back hard here. Sure to prove harder to beat this time.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.