AU - Ballarat - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

25.2K

VIEW

Verdict

An open race. AXIOM (7) has just missed his last couple with the most recent over 7f at Sale. Come back a bit is trip but rates well and will finish hard. Ready to post his second win. BARRYFROM BRUNZWIK (2) resumed off a 557-day break with an on-pace Maiden win at Donald. Impressed here three back on debut and is sure to have come on. Shows promise and is a chance to repeat. BUZITUP (6) resumed an easy Maiden winner at Terang before finding one better at Stawell. Keeps improving and has winning claims. GISELLA (12) is much better than the recent efforts suggest. She ran her best race at this track narrowly beaten over 7f in a 62, and she draws low and tumbles in weight. Winning rider Currie is reunited.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Form hard to fault. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Sale Bm62 on April 8 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Small Town Hero carrying 128lbs at $3.50. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 7 at Pakenham Cl1 on March 19 over 6f, slow going nose behind Yamashita's Gold carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Expected to go close. 1st Pick 7 Axiom Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Gavin Bedggood J: Thomas Stockdale T: Gavin Bedggood	132	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Sale Bm62 on April 8 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Small Town Hero carrying 128lbs at $3.50. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 7 at Pakenham Cl1 on March 19 over 6f, slow going nose behind Yamashita's Gold carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Expected to go close.
2	Second run back. First-up after about 18 months raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a neck at Donald Mdn-Sw April 14 over 6f defeating Trouble'n Paradise with 131lbs at $3.10. Previously second-up 8th of 10 at Moonee Valley 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 4 2024 over 6f, 6 len behind Brandjam with 128lbs at $19. Strips fitter and is sure to prove hard to beat. 2nd Pick 2 Barryfrom Brunzwik Jockey: Ryan Hurdle Trainer: Robert Hickmott J: Ryan Hurdle T: Robert Hickmott	95	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after about 18 months raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a neck at Donald Mdn-Sw April 14 over 6f defeating Trouble'n Paradise with 131lbs at $3.10. Previously second-up 8th of 10 at Moonee Valley 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 4 2024 over 6f, 6 len behind Brandjam with 128lbs at $19. Strips fitter and is sure to prove hard to beat.
6	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up won by 1.75 len at Terang Mdn-Sw March 17 over 6f in soft going defeating He's A Hustler carrying 131lbs at $3.50. Second-up raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at Stawell Bm62 on April 5 over 6 ½f, 1.3 len behind Danzsin with 129lbs at $6.50. Key chance and expected to run well. 3rd Pick 6 Buzitup Jockey: Neil Farley Trainer: Stewart Campbell J: Neil Farley T: Stewart Campbell	98	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up won by 1.75 len at Terang Mdn-Sw March 17 over 6f in soft going defeating He's A Hustler carrying 131lbs at $3.50. Second-up raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at Stawell Bm62 on April 5 over 6 ½f, 1.3 len behind Danzsin with 129lbs at $6.50. Key chance and expected to run well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

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