AU - Ballarat - Race 3

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Maiden

Synthetic

GOOD

29.2K

VIEW

Verdict

RAINY NIGHT (6) looks the one to beat in a moderate affair. He was well backed first up off a seven-month spell and ran okay without threatening as favourite to finish midfield. Expect plenty of improvement off that and his only run here was much better than the formguide reads in a hot race. BOULDEROO (1) struggled at Swan Hill last time but had been going well prior and switches to synthetic for the first time now. He maps for a great run and can give a sight. PRINCE OF SPARTA (5) was just fair on debut at Sale on wet ground but may be worth another go on the synthetic. ROOKERY NOOK (7) ran first up in a stronger maiden at Bendigo and can improve off that. THE ARCHER (9) got home well here at big odds last time and comes into consideration.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Second run back. First-up after seven months 6th of 14 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on June 11 over 6 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Gran Paradiso with 131lbs at $2.30. Previously second-up 4th of 7 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Honey Maker carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Rates highly and should improve sharply. 1st Pick 6 Rainy Night Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Non Runner T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	120	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months 6th of 14 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on June 11 over 6 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Gran Paradiso with 131lbs at $2.30. Previously second-up 4th of 7 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Honey Maker carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Rates highly and should improve sharply.
1	Last start 10th of 14 at Swan Hill 2&3yo Mdn-Sw on June 7 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Hopeless Romantic carrying 131lbs at $15. The race before that 2nd of 10 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on May 23 over 1m, slow going neck behind Palladium with 131lbs at $7.50. Can bounce back here. 2nd Pick 1 Boulderoo Jockey: Cian Macredmond Trainer: Andrew Bobbin J: Cian Macredmond T: Andrew Bobbin	178	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Last start 10th of 14 at Swan Hill 2&3yo Mdn-Sw on June 7 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Hopeless Romantic carrying 131lbs at $15. The race before that 2nd of 10 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on May 23 over 1m, slow going neck behind Palladium with 131lbs at $7.50. Can bounce back here.
5	At debut, 6th of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on June 10 over 6f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Eeny Meeny with 131lbs at $11. Can improve sharply here, respecting. 3rd Pick 5 Prince Of Sparta Jockey: Zac Moore Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Zac Moore T: Ciaron Maher	119	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At debut, 6th of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on June 10 over 6f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Eeny Meeny with 131lbs at $11. Can improve sharply here, respecting.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.