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3:30 AM

AU - Ballarat - Race 3

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
42.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CONFLICT (2) has just found one better in both starts to date but has shown good ability each time, working home well as favourite last start at Kyneton when battling home well on testing ground for second. Drawn wide here but should roll forward to sit in the first handful and from there, he'll go close. CONCORD CONNIE (7) is a filly by Contributer on debut for the Charlotte Littlefield yard who has been jumping out very well on a few occasions. Expecting she runs well first time out. HI VAL (8) presents third up having been solid in two runs back from a spell, only beaten by a talented type last start at Cranbourne. Looks ready to peak now and is right in the mix. BUZITUP (1) has been right there in two runs back and should prove competitive once more.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Conflict silk

Third race start today. At debut, 2nd of 8 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Choir Point carrying 128lbs at $14. Second-up raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on November 5 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 1.75 len behind National Code carrying 131lbs at $2.25. Brings the right form to the table. Will take a power of beating.

1st Pick
2

Conflict

Jockey: Luke Cartwright

Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

J: Luke Cartwright

T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

135---23%7/2

Analysis

Third race start today. At debut, 2nd of 8 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Choir Point carrying 128lbs at $14. Second-up raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on November 5 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 1.75 len behind National Code carrying 131lbs at $2.25. Brings the right form to the table. Will take a power of beating.

7
Concord Connie silk

Filly by Contributer facing the starter for the first time. Won a Pakenham jump-out on October 14. Should run very well.

2nd Pick
7

Concord Connie

Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf

Trainer: Charlotte Littlefield

J: Lachlan Neindorf

T: Charlotte Littlefield

55---40%6/4

Analysis

Filly by Contributer facing the starter for the first time. Won a Pakenham jump-out on October 14. Should run very well.

8
Hi Val silk

Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on October 8 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Bajaria carrying 121lbs at $16. Second run from a spell sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 31 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Lyrics 'N' Song carrying 123lbs at $15. Fitter now and making headway. Ready to win.

3rd Pick
8

Hi Val

Jockey: Declan Bates

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Declan Bates

T: Ciaron Maher

95---12%8/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on October 8 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Bajaria carrying 121lbs at $16. Second run from a spell sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 31 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Lyrics 'N' Song carrying 123lbs at $15. Fitter now and making headway. Ready to win.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.