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4:00 AM

AU - Ballarat - Race 2

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
30.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ROYAL HONOUR (3) impressed in her maiden preparation and is ready to test those peaks. Led beaten a long neck over 5 ½f at Pakenham second-up and has the blinkers on for the first time. Draws out but she has plenty of gate speed. Has the numbers to be winning. MISS DECEIVER (10) resumed at Pakenham with a near miss and then raced wide at Geelong and was well beaten (vet cleared). She has plenty up her sleeve and will position forward from a low gate. May need a touch longer now, but she's too good to risk. GATTINO VELOCE (8) was heading in the right direction before a plain effort at Pakenham when out of the market. Switches back ½f and expect a much better effort. OUR WYND CHYMES (11) debuts and has looked sharp in her two recent jumpouts. John Allen sticks aboard from those and despite the wide barrier it won't surprise to see her race well.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Royal Honour silk

Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 8 at Sale Mdn-Sw on March 29 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Alleviate carrying 130lbs at $1.30. Second run from a spell set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 8 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on April 16 over 5 ½f, in the wet, long-neck behind Longreach Drover carrying 128lbs at $1.75. Shows promise. In form and rates to go one better.

1st Pick
3

Royal Honour

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Robbie Griffiths

J: Jamie Mott

T: Robbie Griffiths

149---45%5/4

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 8 at Sale Mdn-Sw on March 29 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Alleviate carrying 130lbs at $1.30. Second run from a spell set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 8 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on April 16 over 5 ½f, in the wet, long-neck behind Longreach Drover carrying 128lbs at $1.75. Shows promise. In form and rates to go one better.

10
Miss Deceiver silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Pakenham 3yo F Mdn-Sw on March 19 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Invincible Lover carrying 126lbs at $8. Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 7 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 5 ½f, slow going 11 len behind Cabriole with 126lbs at $12. Major player.

2nd Pick
10

Miss Deceiver

Jockey: Teo Nugent

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Teo Nugent

T: Ciaron Maher

181---10%10/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Pakenham 3yo F Mdn-Sw on March 19 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Invincible Lover carrying 126lbs at $8. Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 7 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 5 ½f, slow going 11 len behind Cabriole with 126lbs at $12. Major player.

8
Gattino Veloce silk

At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Pakenham 3yo F Mdn-Sw on April 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Concord Connie carrying 126lbs at $20. The run before that 4th of 10 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 27 over 5f, 2 len behind Outer Banks carrying 123lbs at $4.20. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

3rd Pick
8

Gattino Veloce

Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse

Trainer: Grahame Begg

J: Daniel Stackhouse

T: Grahame Begg

160---20%4/1

Analysis

At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Pakenham 3yo F Mdn-Sw on April 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Concord Connie carrying 126lbs at $20. The run before that 4th of 10 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 27 over 5f, 2 len behind Outer Banks carrying 123lbs at $4.20. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.