AU - Ballarat - Race 1

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

30.6K

VIEW

Verdict

CAVILL AVENUE (6) debuts for a top metro stable with Jamie Melham a key jockey engagement. Is well bred and won a recent Flemington jumpout. Has a handy and a bold effort is on the cards. AUTUMN CHARM (3) prepared well and impressed missing by 1.3L at Geelong on debut. Has jumped out since and can feature with average luck in the run. VELOCITE BELLE (14) debuted as a 2.7F in the same contest and raced new beaten 2L from the pace. She also draws awkwardly but will have taken fitness and learning. FIRM'N'HIGH (9) is an improver and is also in good hands. Led them up and folded late on heavy ground at Terang last time and Nolen is a key jockey switch. She's sure to keep improving. BELLA BLAZE (4) has an outside barrier to manage but has been well-prepared for her debut. Profiles well and won a recent jumpout here on her home track. Has to be kept safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Two-year-old filly making debut by Farnan out of Devious Maid. Won a Flemington jump-out on April 10. In a top juvenile barn and a bold run is on the cards. 1st Pick 6 Cavill Avenue Jockey: Jamie Melham Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jamie Melham T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Two-year-old filly making debut by Farnan out of Devious Maid. Won a Flemington jump-out on April 10. In a top juvenile barn and a bold run is on the cards.
3	Was well-supported at debut, eased back early on 3rd in a small field at Geelong 2yo F Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Mistifyzou with 126lbs at $2.80. Rates highly and can go on with it. 2nd Pick 3 Autumn Charm Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Nick Ryan J: Jamie Mott T: Nick Ryan	109	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, eased back early on 3rd in a small field at Geelong 2yo F Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Mistifyzou with 126lbs at $2.80. Rates highly and can go on with it.
14	Was well-supported at debut, 4th in a small field at Geelong 2yo F Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Mistifyzou with 126lbs at $2.70. Should be there at the business end. 3rd Pick 14 Velocite Belle Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	135	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 4th in a small field at Geelong 2yo F Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Mistifyzou with 126lbs at $2.70. Should be there at the business end.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.