AU - Ballarat - Race 1

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

16.2f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 9

24.7K

VIEW

Verdict

One for the thrill-seekers to start the day with BOLD SOUL (1) deep odds-on at his jumps debut. Easy to see why, though, as an ever-reliable flat performer who raced consistently through winter in some Flemington staying events. Defeated last year's Grand National Hurdle winner Highland Blaze in the latest of them and showed his aptitude for jumps racing with a steeple trial win since. If something goes awry with him, KHOR (2) looks the obvious. He's also on debut over the twigs and was well held by Bold Soul last start on the flat but ran fourth in the Warrnambool Cup earlier in the year and has had one more trial than the favourite in preparation for this. Got the rest, of which we'll give the nod to FLYING WITNESS (7) who is a little more seasoned over the jumps than most rivals. RED ACES (5) probably has more improvement to come than others, so he could improve. OMEO (4) was outclassed last start, but did enough the run prior to be a place chance here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Useful type. Freshened for 29 days. Last outing came from midfield and won by a head Flemington Qlty on July 18 over 1 ¾m on rain affected going defeating Highland Blaze carrying 130lbs at $5.50. Start before sat on the pace then finished second of 10 starters at Flemington Banjo Paterson on July 4 over 1m, on slow going 2.25 len behind Highland Blaze carrying 132lbs at $8. Fought on last time. Expected to handle the transition well and will prove very tough to beat. 1st Pick 1 Bold Soul Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Patrick Payne J: Will Gordon T: Patrick Payne	305	-	-	-	75%	1/3
Analysis Useful type. Freshened for 29 days. Last outing came from midfield and won by a head Flemington Qlty on July 18 over 1 ¾m on rain affected going defeating Highland Blaze carrying 130lbs at $5.50. Start before sat on the pace then finished second of 10 starters at Flemington Banjo Paterson on July 4 over 1m, on slow going 2.25 len behind Highland Blaze carrying 132lbs at $8. Fought on last time. Expected to handle the transition well and will prove very tough to beat.
2	Useful gelding. Comes off a 43 day let-up. Last run raced on the pace prior to fading finished seventh of 10 runners at Flemington Banjo Paterson on July 4 over 1m, on slow going 7 len behind Highland Blaze with 121lbs at $10. Race before won by 0.5 len Sandown-Hillside Bm84 on May 23 over 1 ½m on rain affected going defeating Kurakka carrying 123lbs at $17. Key chance on best and expected to measure up. 2nd Pick 2 Khor Jockey: Dean Parker Trainer: Symon Wilde J: Dean Parker T: Symon Wilde	129	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Useful gelding. Comes off a 43 day let-up. Last run raced on the pace prior to fading finished seventh of 10 runners at Flemington Banjo Paterson on July 4 over 1m, on slow going 7 len behind Highland Blaze with 121lbs at $10. Race before won by 0.5 len Sandown-Hillside Bm84 on May 23 over 1 ½m on rain affected going defeating Kurakka carrying 123lbs at $17. Key chance on best and expected to measure up.
7	Last start finished sixth of 9 starters at Casterton Mdn Hdle-Sw on August 9 over 2m, on slow going 10 len behind Thurmond carrying 149lbs at $8.50. Run before finished fourth in a small field at Coleraine Hdle on July 19 over 2 m, on slow going 10 len behind Split with 143lbs at $61. Can do better this time. 3rd Pick 7 Flying Witness Jockey: Micheal Casey Trainer: Brett Scott J: Micheal Casey T: Brett Scott	65	-	-	-	3%	40/1
Analysis Last start finished sixth of 9 starters at Casterton Mdn Hdle-Sw on August 9 over 2m, on slow going 10 len behind Thurmond carrying 149lbs at $8.50. Run before finished fourth in a small field at Coleraine Hdle on July 19 over 2 m, on slow going 10 len behind Split with 143lbs at $61. Can do better this time.

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