AU - Ballarat - Race 1

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

27.7K

VIEW

Verdict

BIG SISTER AVA (10) looks the one to beat off a strong debut showing at Kilmore when well supported in the market there and working home well for a narrow second. She'll be fitter and better for that and maps for every chance from the soft gate. EPOCH (2) has been solid in two runs back over shorter trips and looks suited getting to a mile third up. He can roll forward and stay the trip well. SIAM EMERALD (6) ran well fresh at Echuca over 7f, an improvement on his form last time in. He can improve off that. FOUR CANDLES (3) was solid first up at Pakenham and should relish getting to this trip now.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Was well-supported at debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on October 31 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Harmony carrying 127lbs at $3.20. Looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 10 Big Sister Ava Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Thomas Stockdale T: Ciaron Maher	222	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on October 31 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Harmony carrying 127lbs at $3.20. Looks the one to beat.
2	Third-up today. First-up 4th of 11 at Hamilton 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 11 over 5 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Legacy Bel with 131lbs at $4.80. Second run from a spell raced on the pace when 3rd of 10 at Mortlake Mdn-Sw on November 1 over 6 ½f, 1.0 len behind Pharoah's Glory with 131lbs at $2.90. Racing well. Cherry-ripe now and sure to be very competitive. 2nd Pick 2 Epoch Jockey: Dean Yendall Trainer: Matthew Williams J: Dean Yendall T: Matthew Williams	100	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 4th of 11 at Hamilton 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 11 over 5 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Legacy Bel with 131lbs at $4.80. Second run from a spell raced on the pace when 3rd of 10 at Mortlake Mdn-Sw on November 1 over 6 ½f, 1.0 len behind Pharoah's Glory with 131lbs at $2.90. Racing well. Cherry-ripe now and sure to be very competitive.
4	At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 1m, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Gee And Tee carrying 131lbs at $2. The start before that 5th of 14 at Seymour 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 12 over 6f, 6 len behind Les Braves with 131lbs at $51. Heading the right way and can figure here. 3rd Pick 4 Good Lordy Me Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jack Laing J: Non Runner T: Jack Laing	138	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 1m, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Gee And Tee carrying 131lbs at $2. The start before that 5th of 14 at Seymour 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 12 over 6f, 6 len behind Les Braves with 131lbs at $51. Heading the right way and can figure here.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.