AU - Bairnsdale - Race 6

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.6K

VIEW

Verdict

DANE ON TOUR (10) made the most of a positive ride when turning her form around with a bold effort for second at Kilmore last week, and with Craig Newitt keeping the ride, she is likely to be ridden in the same manner here. She has a superior gate, and can get the job done this time. NEW YORK SCANDAL (11) was outclassed at Sandown-Hillside last time out, and is much better placed at this level. She gets back in her races so the wide draw is no problem, and a form reversal would be no surprise. COLOUR CIRCLE (2) was an overdue maiden winner at Echuca in his penultimate start, and then had a tough trip from a wide gate in BM62 company at Geelong just over 5 weeks ago. He is worth another chance in this. SCANDOVAL (4) has improved in each of his runs back from a spell, and he has won third up in the past. A good draw will put him right in the finish here. Include in all top 4 combos. PRESERVATOR (6) has been thereabouts through the winter, and he is capable winning this at odds.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Kilmore on September 13 over 1m, 2 len behind Dance Lady carrying 127lbs at $8. Before that ran second last of 12 in a Bm56 at Pakenham Synthetic on August 24 over 7f, 8 len behind Octane Reign carrying 129lbs at $31. Can go one better here. 1st Pick 10 Dane On Tour Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: David & Coral Feek J: Craig Newitt T: David & Coral Feek	144	-	-	-	34%
Analysis At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Kilmore on September 13 over 1m, 2 len behind Dance Lady carrying 127lbs at $8. Before that ran second last of 12 in a Bm56 at Pakenham Synthetic on August 24 over 7f, 8 len behind Octane Reign carrying 129lbs at $31. Can go one better here.
11	Last start eased back early on 12th of 15 in a Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 7 ½f, slow going 8 len behind Veyepee with 119lbs at $101. Before that eased back early on 5th of 10 in a Bm62 at Pakenham Synthetic on August 16 over 1m, 2 len behind Zorb carrying 120lbs at $9.50. Watch for sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 11 New York Scandal Jockey: Luke Cartwright Trainer: Aaron Laing J: Luke Cartwright T: Aaron Laing	107	-	-	-	19%	Scratched
Analysis Last start eased back early on 12th of 15 in a Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 7 ½f, slow going 8 len behind Veyepee with 119lbs at $101. Before that eased back early on 5th of 10 in a Bm62 at Pakenham Synthetic on August 16 over 1m, 2 len behind Zorb carrying 120lbs at $9.50. Watch for sharp improvement.
2	Comes here off a 37-day let-up. Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading 11th of 14 in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 14 over 1 ¹/16m, in the wet, 12 len behind Deny Entry carrying 128lbs at $19. Before that won by 2.5 len in a Mdn-Sw at Echuca on July 24 over 1m in heavy going defeating Harry Caviar with 131lbs at $1.80. Can do much better this time. 3rd Pick 2 Colour Circle Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Brian Mcgrath J: Damien Thornton T: Brian Mcgrath	95	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Comes here off a 37-day let-up. Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading 11th of 14 in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 14 over 1 ¹/16m, in the wet, 12 len behind Deny Entry carrying 128lbs at $19. Before that won by 2.5 len in a Mdn-Sw at Echuca on July 24 over 1m in heavy going defeating Harry Caviar with 131lbs at $1.80. Can do much better this time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.