AU - Bairnsdale - Race 3

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.8K

VIEW

Verdict

THEATRICAL QUEEN (8) has shown talent in each of her 2 preps, and her recent spell would have done her the world of good. A wide gate is no help, but still include her in all combinations. ILOVEDIAMONDS (6) improved from a solid fresh effort at Sale to finish third at Tatura nearly 2 weeks ago. She will continue to improve with racing, and she can figure in the top 3 again. PRESTIGE HELLBENT (9) found the 5f too sharp on debut, and battle on well enough to finish sixth. He gets a big swing in his draw here, strips fitter, and will be a quick improver. Each way value. PRIME FORCE (10) makes his debut, and the Moody/Coleman stable only trek their team here when they are confident of winning, so with that in mind, he will only need luck in the running to be a big threat to take this out. CELESTIAL HONOR (12) resumes from a spell and starts from a handy draw. Her jump-out form indicates that she will be ready to rumble fresh. Keep safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Gelding by Nicconi making his first appearance. Ran 3rd in a jump-out at Pakenham Synthetic on September 8. Hard to beat on debut. 1st Pick 4 See Me No More Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Non Runner T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	32	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Gelding by Nicconi making his first appearance. Ran 3rd in a jump-out at Pakenham Synthetic on September 8. Hard to beat on debut.
8	Mare back from a spell of four-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw May 3 over 6f, 3.5 len behind High Ambitions with 123lbs at $4.20. When resuming last campaign second in a small field at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw April 17 over 5f, soft track, 1.5 len behind Logam carrying 126lbs at $2.40. Everything points to a positive return. 2nd Pick 8 Theatrical Queen Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: Robbie Griffiths J: Craig Newitt T: Robbie Griffiths	154	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Mare back from a spell of four-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw May 3 over 6f, 3.5 len behind High Ambitions with 123lbs at $4.20. When resuming last campaign second in a small field at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw April 17 over 5f, soft track, 1.5 len behind Logam carrying 126lbs at $2.40. Everything points to a positive return.
6	Third-up today. First-up 6th of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Sale on August 21 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind La Zoom with 127lbs at $21. Last start ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Tatura on September 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Adieu Grasse carrying 127lbs at $4.80. Close to a win. Sure to be right there at the business end. 3rd Pick 6 Ilovediamonds Jockey: Adam Mccabe Trainer: Shawn Mathrick J: Adam Mccabe T: Shawn Mathrick	158	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 6th of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Sale on August 21 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind La Zoom with 127lbs at $21. Last start ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Tatura on September 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Adieu Grasse carrying 127lbs at $4.80. Close to a win. Sure to be right there at the business end.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.