NZ - Riccarton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

12.9f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

36.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

SUAVETTA (11) up to 1 ?m for her last two starts and had no luck when probing for a run from 2nd last Oct 10 then charged home off a similar run for a head 3rd and ran right through the line. Take beating here. DUPUG (3) was eased back from the outside gate and made ground well in an on-pace dominated race over 1 5/16m at Otaki last start. Expect the extra distance and big track to suit here. SECRET WISH (6) had no luck in this race last year when caught wide from a wide draw so pressed on to sit outside the leader and weakened. Stronger this year. TETBURY (7) was held up soon after straightening but got very close over 1 ?m at Ashburton then was caught wide without cover here last time. Keep safe. ILLUSIONIST (1) put in a charging run from near last for a close 2nd here then no luck when wide early and fought well at Wingatui. Worth thought here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Ashburton on October 18 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.1 len behind Honor Mission with 126lbs at $6.10. The race before that 5th of 14 at Ashburton on October 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Overheated carrying 120lbs at $9.90. Better placed and expected to measure up. 1st Pick 11 Suavetta Jockey: Leah Hemi Trainer: Andrew Carston J: Leah Hemi T: Andrew Carston	62	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Ashburton on October 18 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.1 len behind Honor Mission with 126lbs at $6.10. The race before that 5th of 14 at Ashburton on October 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Overheated carrying 120lbs at $9.90. Better placed and expected to measure up.
3	At the latest run 5th of 11 at Otaki on October 31 over 1 5/16m, 5 len behind Abeecee with 127lbs at $25.80. Before that 5th of 13 at Taupo on October 9 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Kuroko carrying 128lbs at $13.80. Finds a nice race this time and is expected to go very well. 2nd Pick 3 Dupug Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Kevin Myers J: Floor Moerman T: Kevin Myers	88	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 11 at Otaki on October 31 over 1 5/16m, 5 len behind Abeecee with 127lbs at $25.80. Before that 5th of 13 at Taupo on October 9 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Kuroko carrying 128lbs at $13.80. Finds a nice race this time and is expected to go very well.
6	Racing well recently. Most recently raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at Riverton on November 1 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Celestial Flame with 125lbs at $5.40. The race before that came from midfield and won by 2 len at Gore on October 16 over 1 ¼m on a heavy track defeating On The Rivet with 121lbs at $13.40. Finds a suitable race and should play a big role. 3rd Pick 6 Secret Wish Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Amber Hoffman J: Matt Cartwright T: Amber Hoffman	136	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at Riverton on November 1 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Celestial Flame with 125lbs at $5.40. The race before that came from midfield and won by 2 len at Gore on October 16 over 1 ¼m on a heavy track defeating On The Rivet with 121lbs at $13.40. Finds a suitable race and should play a big role.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.