NZ - Riccarton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

28.4K

VIEW

Verdict

IRON HAWK (6) confirmed his promise that he showed last season when racing through the grades, by winning very impressively fresh up here a fortnight ago, storming home late to score by nearly a length. He cops an extra 7lbs here, but should still be the one to beat. SHAWSHANK (8) has taken his form to another level on heavy ground this year, and he made it 2 wins on the bounce with another all the way win here 4 weeks ago over 1m. He will again take some pegging back, especially if the track is wet again. DREAM OF THE MOON (11) raced well earlier in the year in the North Island, and she will appreciate racing on this circuit fresh up with all of her 3 career wins coming here. She has won a brace of trials at Ashburton to get ready for her return, and will be ready to rumble. SIR ALBERT (2) is as honest as they come when fit, and if he doesn't need the hit-out, he can figure in the top 4. STONYBRECK (3) resumes with a trial win under his belt, and he has won 3 of 6 fresh up. Watch.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Second run back. First-up after five months won by 0.9 len at this track on September 12 over 6f in heavy going defeating Miss Ziggy with 123lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up won by 0.9 len at this track on March 21 over 6f defeating Pizarro with 127lbs at $3. Has won second up in the past and is capable of building on that record. 1st Pick 6 Iron Hawk Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Lance Robinson J: Non Runner T: Lance Robinson	162	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months won by 0.9 len at this track on September 12 over 6f in heavy going defeating Miss Ziggy with 123lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up won by 0.9 len at this track on March 21 over 6f defeating Pizarro with 127lbs at $3. Has won second up in the past and is capable of building on that record.
8	Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by 0.9 len at this track on August 29 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Shaking Stevens with 119lbs at $3.40. The race before that favourite, won by a 0.1 len at this track on August 8 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Belzoni carrying 119lbs at $7.10. Well placed. In great form and can go on with it. 2nd Pick 8 Shawshank Jockey: Ace Lawson-Carroll Trainer: Samantha Wynne J: Ace Lawson-Carroll T: Samantha Wynne	108	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by 0.9 len at this track on August 29 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Shaking Stevens with 119lbs at $3.40. The race before that favourite, won by a 0.1 len at this track on August 8 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Belzoni carrying 119lbs at $7.10. Well placed. In great form and can go on with it.
11	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign ninth of 14 at Ellerslie Rating 75 April 18 over 7f, soft track, 6 len behind Sweet Smile with 131lbs at $10.10. First up last campaign fourth of 11 at Ellerslie December 26 over 6f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Power Of Three with 129lbs at $12.10. Everything points to a positive return. 3rd Pick 11 Dream Of The Moon Jockey: Kyle Wilson-Taylor Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	75	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign ninth of 14 at Ellerslie Rating 75 April 18 over 7f, soft track, 6 len behind Sweet Smile with 131lbs at $10.10. First up last campaign fourth of 11 at Ellerslie December 26 over 6f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Power Of Three with 129lbs at $12.10. Everything points to a positive return.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.