NZ - Riccarton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

8.9f

OPEN

Turf

HEAVY 9

26.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

QUINTABELLE (1) was too strong late over 1m in the Winter Cup last week, and that race form always holds up when horses back up from the feature on the first day. She rises in weight, but that should not stop her from winning again. RIVIERA REBEL (2) fought on well enough in a tougher part of the track when finishing eighth in the Winter Cup, and he will cope with the extra 1f better than most in this. Stick with him on an each-way basis. ROYAL VALOUR (3) was a brave seventh in the Winter Cup, and he is nicely placed over 1 ?m this time. He is an honest gelding who will give another honest account of himself in this. Each way value. PROSERVE (5) was a deserved winner on a heavy track at Ashburton, and then bolted in on the poly track here a month ago. He is a month between runs, which worries us, but he can never be ruled out of a top 3 finish at this level. PRINCE ALBY (6) plugged away gamely for sixth in the Winter Cup, and he is right in this with each-way claims.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	At the latest run won by 2 len at this track G3 Winter Cup August 1 over 1m in heavy going defeating Bradman with 117lbs at $34.40. The start before that 5th of 14 at Oamaru on July 19 over 7f, in the wet, 8 len behind Shawshank with 137lbs at $16.40. Progressing well and rates highly. 1st Pick 1 Quintabelle Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Anna Furlong J: Floor Moerman T: Anna Furlong	114	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run won by 2 len at this track G3 Winter Cup August 1 over 1m in heavy going defeating Bradman with 117lbs at $34.40. The start before that 5th of 14 at Oamaru on July 19 over 7f, in the wet, 8 len behind Shawshank with 137lbs at $16.40. Progressing well and rates highly.
2	At the latest run 8th of 18 at this track in the G3 Winter Cup on August 1 over 1m, on a wet track, 9 len behind Quintabelle with 119lbs at $10.10. The start before that 4th of 8 at Ashburton on July 2 over 1m, in the wet, 4 len behind Proserve with 126lbs at $3.40. Capable of taking this out. 2nd Pick 2 Riviera Rebel Jockey: Ashlee Strawbridge Trainer: Graham Eade & Brooke Kincaid J: Ashlee Strawbridge T: Graham Eade & Brooke Kincaid	138	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run 8th of 18 at this track in the G3 Winter Cup on August 1 over 1m, on a wet track, 9 len behind Quintabelle with 119lbs at $10.10. The start before that 4th of 8 at Ashburton on July 2 over 1m, in the wet, 4 len behind Proserve with 126lbs at $3.40. Capable of taking this out.
3	At the latest run 7th of 18 at this track in the G3 Winter Cup on August 1 over 1m, on heavy track, 9 len behind Quintabelle carrying 117lbs at $12.60. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Oamaru on July 19 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.9 len behind Bella Luce carrying 129lbs at $11.10. Sure to prove hard to beat in this race. 3rd Pick 3 Royal Valour Jockey: Bridget Grylls Trainer: Bevan & Robyn Wilson J: Bridget Grylls T: Bevan & Robyn Wilson	83	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 18 at this track in the G3 Winter Cup on August 1 over 1m, on heavy track, 9 len behind Quintabelle carrying 117lbs at $12.60. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Oamaru on July 19 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.9 len behind Bella Luce carrying 129lbs at $11.10. Sure to prove hard to beat in this race.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.