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2:55 AM

NZ - Riccarton - Race 6

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
15.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CELTIC BLING (6) has needed time to mature, and she made good progress last prep, including winning her penultimate start on the poly track here earlier in the season. She has been tuned up with a recent Ashburton trial, and even from a wide gate, she will be hard to hold out. Follow the market moves. HELLO BESS (12) won her debut here on the poly track in December, and her 2 starts since then, on turf, have also been good. She can settle handy to the pace, and should be among the top 4 this time. PATSY SPIRIT (7) fought hard off a tough trip over 5f at Reefton 4 weeks ago. He has not had much luck this season, and a win here would be no surprise. WANDERIN SPELLE (1) made progress despite lacking some strength last year during a winter prep. and he will be a lot stronger this year. A wide gate is no help, but if he doesn't need the run, he is worth including in all top 4 combos. CHICAGO DREAM (5) raced well on the West Coast, and he can make full use of his good draw. Each way.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Celtic Bling silk

Resuming after a spell of five months. Finished off last preparation second of 11 at Riccarton Park Synthetic September 11 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Jack Attack carrying 125lbs at $3.90. Previously first up, fifth of 14 at Trentham April 12 over 5f, soft track, 3 len behind Sharp Enough carrying 123lbs at $5.10. Expected to feature.

1st Pick
6

Celtic Bling

Jockey: Bruno Queiroz

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Bruno Queiroz

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

81---12%15/2

Analysis

Resuming after a spell of five months. Finished off last preparation second of 11 at Riccarton Park Synthetic September 11 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Jack Attack carrying 125lbs at $3.90. Previously first up, fifth of 14 at Trentham April 12 over 5f, soft track, 3 len behind Sharp Enough carrying 123lbs at $5.10. Expected to feature.

12
Hello Bess silk

Most recently 6th of 14 at this track on January 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Pizarro carrying 121lbs at $3.30. The race before that 6th of 13 at Phar Lap Racecourse on December 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Our Clarry carrying 122lbs at $3.90. Hard to beat on her best form.

2nd Pick
12

Hello Bess

Jockey: Triston Moodley

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Triston Moodley

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

135---15%6/1

Analysis

Most recently 6th of 14 at this track on January 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Pizarro carrying 121lbs at $3.30. The race before that 6th of 13 at Phar Lap Racecourse on December 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Our Clarry carrying 122lbs at $3.90. Hard to beat on her best form.

7
Patsy Spirit silk

Recent form sound. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Reefton on January 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Grove Street with 120lbs at $5.60. The race before that rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 12 at Kurow on December 30 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Misspeebee with 118lbs at $11.80. Has ability and can run a forward race.

3rd Pick
7

Patsy Spirit

Jockey: Floor Moerman

Trainer: Eamonn Green

J: Floor Moerman

T: Eamonn Green

102---5%20/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Reefton on January 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Grove Street with 120lbs at $5.60. The race before that rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 12 at Kurow on December 30 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Misspeebee with 118lbs at $11.80. Has ability and can run a forward race.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.