NZ - Riccarton - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

9.9f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

20.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

BUNDY (7) paid the believer's when backed off the board to score fresh up here last week over 1m, and the extra 2f won't bother him one bit. The heavy ground is another plus, and he should go close to repeating the dose. CONEY ISLAND (8) tried hard when digging deep to finish second in a similar field to this 7-days ago over 1 ?m, and he will relish the extra 1f here. A wide draw won't matter on heavy ground, and he can go one better. BALANCE OF POWER (9) is unbeaten over this trip, and he gets out to this distance for the first time this prep. The heavy ground is the query for us, but he can still figure in the top 4, so don't drop him. JUNGLELAND (10) built strongly for a well-deserved win here on the first day, and the quick turnaround won't be an issue at his fifth start back from a spell. Stick with him. TAVI ANN (11) was doing her best work late here 7-days ago when finishing sixth, and if she can get into the clear at the right time, she can have the last say.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Second-up. First-up after three months favourite, won by 2.75 len at this track August 1 over 1m in the wet defeating What She Wants with 128lbs at $3.10. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Waverley on May 9 over 1 m, 4 len behind Exit Left with 123lbs at $7.70. Great chance to make it two in a row. Back in great shape and is among the better hopes. 1st Pick 7 Bundy Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Kevin Myers J: Floor Moerman T: Kevin Myers	124	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months favourite, won by 2.75 len at this track August 1 over 1m in the wet defeating What She Wants with 128lbs at $3.10. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Waverley on May 9 over 1 m, 4 len behind Exit Left with 123lbs at $7.70. Great chance to make it two in a row. Back in great shape and is among the better hopes.
8	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 15 at this track on August 1 over 1m, on rain affected going, 0.7 len behind Jungleland carrying 125lbs at $6.30. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Otaki on July 10 over 1 5/16m, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Another Won't Hurt with 122lbs at $10.10. Shapes as one of the key chances. 2nd Pick 8 Coney Island Jockey: Chris Dell Trainer: Lisa Latta J: Chris Dell T: Lisa Latta	73	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 15 at this track on August 1 over 1m, on rain affected going, 0.7 len behind Jungleland carrying 125lbs at $6.30. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Otaki on July 10 over 1 5/16m, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Another Won't Hurt with 122lbs at $10.10. Shapes as one of the key chances.
9	Most recently 9th of 15 at this track on August 1 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Jungleland carrying 125lbs at $6.70. The run before that 4th of 7 at Ashburton on July 2 over 1m, on a wet track, 1.5 len behind Enterprise Gem with 128lbs at $7.60. Is well suited by the longer journey and rates a leading hope. 3rd Pick 9 Balance Of Power Jockey: Lily Sutherland Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Lily Sutherland T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	89	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Most recently 9th of 15 at this track on August 1 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Jungleland carrying 125lbs at $6.70. The run before that 4th of 7 at Ashburton on July 2 over 1m, on a wet track, 1.5 len behind Enterprise Gem with 128lbs at $7.60. Is well suited by the longer journey and rates a leading hope.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.