NZ - Riccarton - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

OPEN

Turf

HEAVY 9

26.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

HE'S LUCID (6) won fresh up and then tried hard here on Saturday when finishing third as a warm favourite at BM75 level. He drops in weight with the step up to open-company, but this is hardly a vintage field, and we think he is the one to beat, so follow your money. BELZONI (8) only missed by a nose when finishing second in the same race as the top pick here 7-days ago, and with 6lbs less to carry, he can figure in the top 3 again. WIRE ROPE (4) beat most of these on the first day of this Carnival, and he has no problem at all when the tracks are at their heaviest, so stick with him. EXPRESS COUP (1) missed the first day, and was last seen finishing fifth at Oamaru nearly 3 weeks ago. She has to give weight to all her rivals, which makes it tough, but she is a must for all top 4 combos. LORD DARCI (2) never featured in the Winter Cup last Saturday, but this a whole different ball game for him. A form reversal is on the cards.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 3 len at Hawera July 11 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Kereti with 127lbs at $3.20. Second-up 3rd of 10 at this track on August 1 over 7f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Wire Rope with 132lbs at $2.40. Tough to beat. 1st Pick 6 He's Lucid Jockey: Lily Sutherland Trainer: Kevin Myers J: Lily Sutherland T: Kevin Myers	118	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 3 len at Hawera July 11 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Kereti with 127lbs at $3.20. Second-up 3rd of 10 at this track on August 1 over 7f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Wire Rope with 132lbs at $2.40. Tough to beat.
8	At the latest run 2nd of 10 at this track on August 1 over 7f, on a wet track, 0.1 len behind Wire Rope with 125lbs at $8.90. The race before that raced on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 11 at Waverley on July 4 over 1 m, slow going 6 len behind Skattebo with 127lbs at $13.10. Hard to beat on that latest effort. 2nd Pick 8 Belzoni Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Lisa Latta J: Amber Riddell T: Lisa Latta	89	-	-	-	29%
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 10 at this track on August 1 over 7f, on a wet track, 0.1 len behind Wire Rope with 125lbs at $8.90. The race before that raced on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 11 at Waverley on July 4 over 1 m, slow going 6 len behind Skattebo with 127lbs at $13.10. Hard to beat on that latest effort.
4	At the latest run won by a 0.1 len at this track August 1 over 7f in the wet defeating Belzoni with 129lbs at $6.90. The race before that 5th of 12 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 1m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Jungle Love with 129lbs at $8.90. Can double up here. 3rd Pick 4 Wire Rope Jockey: Toni Davies Trainer: Bill Thurlow J: Toni Davies T: Bill Thurlow	125	-	-	-	29%
Analysis At the latest run won by a 0.1 len at this track August 1 over 7f in the wet defeating Belzoni with 129lbs at $6.90. The race before that 5th of 12 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 1m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Jungle Love with 129lbs at $8.90. Can double up here.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.