NZ - Riccarton - Race 2

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

20.4K

VIEW

Verdict

KA YING LUCKY (1) treks to the South Island, and he has a good record on both the courses here. He has struck form at the right time, and 5f is his pet trip. A wide gate will make things tougher, but if the track is heavy, then it may be a blessing in disguise. On top. BEST ROSE (6) was less than a length from the winner at Ashburton when second in her penultimate start, followed by a sixth placing as the favourite here 7 weeks ago. Dropping back to 5f is the key, and she is worth another chance. Follow your money. MR FORTRUS (2) resumes from a spell and has relocated to the South Island since his last run at Whanganui in January. He comes to hand quickly and must be respected fresh. RUSSIAN ROSETTE (8) needed her fresh up run on the poly track just over 5 weeks ago, and she usually improves quickly with racing. Include in all top 4 combos to be safe in an even contest. JETSTREAM (3) dropped in class and was too good for BM60 company on the poly track here last start. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Awapuni Synthetic on May 31 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Bodacious Kate carrying 126lbs at $2.50. The start before that 6th of 12 at Otaki on May 16 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Dollybird carrying 120lbs at $35.80. Worth following up. 1st Pick 1 Ka Ying Lucky Jockey: Kavish Chowdhoory Trainer: Suzy Gordon J: Kavish Chowdhoory T: Suzy Gordon	175	-	-	-	29%
Analysis At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Awapuni Synthetic on May 31 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Bodacious Kate carrying 126lbs at $2.50. The start before that 6th of 12 at Otaki on May 16 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Dollybird carrying 120lbs at $35.80. Worth following up.
6	Comes here off a 49-day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 15 at this track on May 2 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Moon Goddess carrying 127lbs at $3.90. The run before that 2nd of 11 at Ashburton on April 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Royal Sovereigns with 121lbs at $6.30. One of the better chances. 2nd Pick 6 Best Rose Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Floor Moerman T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	153	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Comes here off a 49-day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 15 at this track on May 2 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Moon Goddess carrying 127lbs at $3.90. The run before that 2nd of 11 at Ashburton on April 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Royal Sovereigns with 121lbs at $6.30. One of the better chances.
2	Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign ninth of 11 at Wanganui January 10 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Cooper carrying 123lbs at $12.30. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.0 len Taupo October 10 over 5 ½f slow track defeating Sabik with 127lbs at $9.90. Expect a bold showing. 3rd Pick 2 Mr Fortrus Jockey: M Hudson Trainer: John Blackadder J: M Hudson T: John Blackadder	61	-	-	-	9%	Scratched
Analysis Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign ninth of 11 at Wanganui January 10 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Cooper carrying 123lbs at $12.30. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.0 len Taupo October 10 over 5 ½f slow track defeating Sabik with 127lbs at $9.90. Expect a bold showing.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.