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7 Min Till Start

IE - Downpatrick - Race 6

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
21.8f
Handicap Hurdle
Turf
Good
14.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Preference is for NAKASSAMA, who is improving fast all of a sudden and Noel Kelly's 6-y-o can make it 2 wins from his last 3 outings having gone like the best horse at the weights when narrowly denied at Cartmel recently. Cozone and Joya Del Mar both boast impressive records at this track so they look the biggest threats, with stable-switcher Caher Roes Den another worthy of a mention.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Nakassama (Ire) silk

Fairly useful Flat performer who landed a gamble over C&D last month and improved again from a mark a stone higher when narrowly denied at Cartmel (2¾m, good to soft) just over 2 weeks ago. Every chance he can regain the winning thread back here,

1st Pick
2

Nakassama (Ire)

Jockey: Mr O. Mcgill

Trainer: Noel C. Kelly, Ireland

J: Mr O. Mcgill

T: Noel C. Kelly, Ireland

100---34%2/1

Analysis

Fairly useful Flat performer who landed a gamble over C&D last month and improved again from a mark a stone higher when narrowly denied at Cartmel (2¾m, good to soft) just over 2 weeks ago. Every chance he can regain the winning thread back here,

5
Cozone silk

Took advantage of a much-reduced mark in a 14-runner event over C&D in March and regained the winning thread back here (2¼m, good to firm) last month, staying on to lead final 100 yds having lost momentum briefly last. 7 lb higher but can feature.

2nd Pick
5

Cozone

Jockey: Keith Donoghue

Trainer: Matthew J. Smith, Ireland

J: Keith Donoghue

T: Matthew J. Smith, Ireland

98---23%

Scratched

Analysis

Took advantage of a much-reduced mark in a 14-runner event over C&D in March and regained the winning thread back here (2¼m, good to firm) last month, staying on to lead final 100 yds having lost momentum briefly last. 7 lb higher but can feature.

8
Joya Del Mar (Ire) silk

Bounced back to best to capitalise on a falling mark in decisive style over C&D in May and doubled her tally over C&D (good to firm) the following month. 7 lb rise demands more but clearly well suited to this track.

3rd Pick
8

Joya Del Mar (Ire)

Jockey: Patrick Michael O'brien

Trainer: Dermot Anthony Mcloughlin, Ireland

J: Patrick Michael O'brien

T: Dermot Anthony Mcloughlin, Ireland

97---13%7/1

Analysis

Bounced back to best to capitalise on a falling mark in decisive style over C&D in May and doubled her tally over C&D (good to firm) the following month. 7 lb rise demands more but clearly well suited to this track.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.