IE - Downpatrick - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

19.5f

Maiden Chase

Turf

Good to Yielding

12.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Not a great deal of chasing form to go on and WHISPERING WILLOW looks the way to go now starting out over fences on the back of a ready hurdling success at Punchestown on her debut for Gavin Cromwell recently. Jerisk Star rates the pick of those with fencing experience and is next on the list ahead of other chasing newcomers King Gris, Saunton Surf and Coolboy Christy.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
14	Maiden hurdler for Paul Gilligan. Proved a different model for new yard after 7 months off when readily landing 19-runner handicap hurdle at Punchestown last week. Big player quickly sent chasing. 1st Pick 14 Whispering Willow (Ire) Jockey: Keith Donoghue Trainer: Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Ireland J: Keith Donoghue T: Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Ireland	98	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Maiden hurdler for Paul Gilligan. Proved a different model for new yard after 7 months off when readily landing 19-runner handicap hurdle at Punchestown last week. Big player quickly sent chasing.
6	Got off the mark over hurdles at Gowran in October and has shaped well despite failing to complete on both chase starts, in second when fell 2 out in novice at Tramore (21f) in November. Hood/tongue strap go back on now. Likely player. 2nd Pick 6 Jerisk Star (Fr) Jockey: Sean Flanagan Trainer: Miss Elizabeth Doyle, Ireland J: Sean Flanagan T: Miss Elizabeth Doyle, Ireland	100	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Got off the mark over hurdles at Gowran in October and has shaped well despite failing to complete on both chase starts, in second when fell 2 out in novice at Tramore (21f) in November. Hood/tongue strap go back on now. Likely player.
7	Fair form when a winner of handicap hurdles around 2½m at Ayr and Hexham in December. Respectable fifth of 15 in handicap hurdle here (2¾m) 14 days ago. Not ruled out now going over fences. 3rd Pick 7 King Gris (Fr) Jockey: J. H. Williamson Trainer: Gordon Elliott, Ireland J: J. H. Williamson T: Gordon Elliott, Ireland	90	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Fair form when a winner of handicap hurdles around 2½m at Ayr and Hexham in December. Respectable fifth of 15 in handicap hurdle here (2¾m) 14 days ago. Not ruled out now going over fences.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

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A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.