AR - Hipodromo Palermo - Race 14

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Dirt

3.9K

VIEW

Verdict

TIO SHELBY (1) has switched yards since resuming with a second over 5 ½f at San Isidro. Did score at this stage when last in work at San Isidro over 5 ½f. Racing for the first time under a new trainer Leonardo Guidobono. Expected to feature. VERRELL (4) is yet to break through after five career starts. Managed to find the placings at this track two starts back when resuming before finishing seventh over 5f at this track last start. Cannot be left out of calculations. SARAGOSSIANO (3) is a five-year-old entire yet to find the frame after seven runs. Failed to threaten when first up last start over 6 ½f at this track. Has good early speed, and he is one to consider for all combinations in a modest field. FAIR MOON (10) finished ninth two runs back, then did well last start but found a couple better over 6 ½f at this track, beaten only a head. Nicely placed to take this out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second-up. First-up after eight months 2nd of 11 at San Isidro on August 13 over 5 ½f, 0.1 len behind Humor De Locos with 126lbs at $3.85. Previously second-up favourite, won by 6 len at San Isidro November 6 over 5 ½f defeating Grand Mago with 126lbs at $5.05. Strong winning chance. 1st Pick 1 Tio Shelby Jockey: Wilson Rosario Moreyra Trainer: Leonardo Guidobono J: Wilson Rosario Moreyra T: Leonardo Guidobono	208	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months 2nd of 11 at San Isidro on August 13 over 5 ½f, 0.1 len behind Humor De Locos with 126lbs at $3.85. Previously second-up favourite, won by 6 len at San Isidro November 6 over 5 ½f defeating Grand Mago with 126lbs at $5.05. Strong winning chance.
4	Third-up today. Not raced for 48 days. First-up 2nd of 10 at this track on June 22 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Joy Fun carrying 126lbs at $12.40. Second-up 7th of 13 at this track on July 14 over 5f, 14 len behind Sicion with 126lbs at $7.55. Rates highly. Big chance. 2nd Pick 4 Verrell Jockey: Jorge L Peralta Trainer: Gerardo Alteño J: Jorge L Peralta T: Gerardo Alteño	95	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today. Not raced for 48 days. First-up 2nd of 10 at this track on June 22 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Joy Fun carrying 126lbs at $12.40. Second-up 7th of 13 at this track on July 14 over 5f, 14 len behind Sicion with 126lbs at $7.55. Rates highly. Big chance.
3	Second-up. First-up after nine months ran last of 9 at this track on August 11 over 6 ½f, 9 len behind Greyjoy Throne with 126lbs at $7.05. Previously second-up 4th in a small field at La Plata on September 10 over 7f, 14 len behind Icefish carrying 126lbs at $3.45. Worth another chance. 3rd Pick 3 Saragossiano Jockey: Leopoldo Mateo Armoha Trainer: Candela Belen Carretto J: Leopoldo Mateo Armoha T: Candela Belen Carretto	72	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after nine months ran last of 9 at this track on August 11 over 6 ½f, 9 len behind Greyjoy Throne with 126lbs at $7.05. Previously second-up 4th in a small field at La Plata on September 10 over 7f, 14 len behind Icefish carrying 126lbs at $3.45. Worth another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.