NZ - Oamaru - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

10.0K

VIEW

Verdict

SHAMEL EXPRESS (1) lifted strongly late when finishing second by a nose here nearly 4 weeks ago, and he will be at his peak fitness for this similar contest. He has again drawn nicely, and is set to go one better. ROYAL SOVEREIGNS (7) has mixed her form, but her last start sixth was a very game effort at Riccarton nearly 2 weeks ago in what was probably a tougher field than this. Stick with her on an each-way basis. BEAVER FEVER (9) has recently changed stables, and she has no trouble with heavy tracks. The wide gate will make it tough, but any market confidence will be worth following up. WHAT SHE WANTS (13) has been heading the right way with her form, and having Kylie Williams in the saddle for the first time is a strong lead. She is peaking at the right time, and her next win is not far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Form hard to fault. Most recently 2nd of 14 at this track on July 19 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.1 len behind Mininjagirl carrying 128lbs at $11.50. The start before that 4th of 11 at Wingatui on June 28 over 7f, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Proudtobehere carrying 128lbs at $8.40. Expected to feature in the top 3 here. 1st Pick 1 Shamel Express Jockey: Brett Murray Trainer: Amber Hoffman J: Brett Murray T: Amber Hoffman	128	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 2nd of 14 at this track on July 19 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.1 len behind Mininjagirl carrying 128lbs at $11.50. The start before that 4th of 11 at Wingatui on June 28 over 7f, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Proudtobehere carrying 128lbs at $8.40. Expected to feature in the top 3 here.
7	Most recently 6th of 14 at Riccarton Park on August 1 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Bundy with 125lbs at $12.90. The race before that 3rd of 13 at this track on June 14 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Way Out West with 122lbs at $11.90. Terrific chance to return to form. 2nd Pick 7 Royal Sovereigns Jockey: Triston Moodley Trainer: Russell Mckay & Ashley Harrington J: Triston Moodley T: Russell Mckay & Ashley Harrington	125	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Most recently 6th of 14 at Riccarton Park on August 1 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Bundy with 125lbs at $12.90. The race before that 3rd of 13 at this track on June 14 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Way Out West with 122lbs at $11.90. Terrific chance to return to form.
2	At the latest run 11th of 15 at Riccarton Park on August 1 over 1m, on a wet track, 9 len behind Valley King carrying 129lbs at $33.30. The start before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Riccarton Park on June 20 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Jack Crabb carrying 128lbs at $16.50. Better placed this time and expected to measure up. 3rd Pick 2 Flat Stanley Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Danny Crozier J: Non Runner T: Danny Crozier	82	-	-	-	8%	Scratched
Analysis At the latest run 11th of 15 at Riccarton Park on August 1 over 1m, on a wet track, 9 len behind Valley King carrying 129lbs at $33.30. The start before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Riccarton Park on June 20 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Jack Crabb carrying 128lbs at $16.50. Better placed this time and expected to measure up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race