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3:07 PM

GB - Newbury - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7f
Listed
Turf
Good (Good to Firm in places)
82.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Marginal preference in this wide-open listed event is for ELARAK who is taken to gain a deserved first success of the season on the back of a good second in listed company at Newmarket. Fondo Blanco also arrives in fine fettle and seems sure to go well but might have to settle for a place again. Spy Chief could bounce back after being poorly drawn in the Wokingham and the upwardly-mobile All Moonshine needs factoring in too.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Elarak silk

A 3-time winner in 2025. Yet to score this season but has progressed again, runner-up in Buckingham Palace at Royal Ascot (7f) in June and in 7-runner listed event at Newmarket (6f, good) last time. Holds very good form claims.

1st Pick
1

Elarak

Jockey: David Probert

Trainer: Charles Hills

J: David Probert

T: Charles Hills

100---14%13/2

Analysis

A 3-time winner in 2025. Yet to score this season but has progressed again, runner-up in Buckingham Palace at Royal Ascot (7f) in June and in 7-runner listed event at Newmarket (6f, good) last time. Holds very good form claims.

2
Fondo Blanco silk

Ended last season (landed 1m Haydock handicap) in fine form. Back on the up in recent weeks when runner-up in 7f Goodwood handicap and third of 9 in Superior Mile at Haydock (1m, soft). A likely player again.

2nd Pick
2

Fondo Blanco

Jockey: Ray Dawson

Trainer: Roger Varian

J: Ray Dawson

T: Roger Varian

99---14%13/2

Analysis

Ended last season (landed 1m Haydock handicap) in fine form. Back on the up in recent weeks when runner-up in 7f Goodwood handicap and third of 9 in Superior Mile at Haydock (1m, soft). A likely player again.

5
Spy Chief silk

Acquitted himself well several times in 2025 (second in Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot) and resumed with very good second in Salisbury 6f listed event, despite looking awkward under pressure. Poorly drawn when well held in Wokingham back at Royal Ascot only run since and must enter calculations.

3rd Pick
5

Spy Chief

Jockey: Ryan Moore

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

J: Ryan Moore

T: John & Thady Gosden

98---20%4/1

Analysis

Acquitted himself well several times in 2025 (second in Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot) and resumed with very good second in Salisbury 6f listed event, despite looking awkward under pressure. Poorly drawn when well held in Wokingham back at Royal Ascot only run since and must enter calculations.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.