GB - Newbury - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

23.4f

Handicap Chase

Turf

Good to Soft

17.5K

VIEW

Verdict

BUCKNA hasn't looked back since sent chasing and is fancied to go 3-4 in this sphere and complete a hat-trick on the back of an emphatic latest success at Hereford (runner-up gone in since). Top Target rates a big threat though off a handy-looking mark, while both Aviation and Muskova also have plenty to recommend them and can have a say. Captain Boudet completes the shortlist in this competitive handicap.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Point winner who has taken really well to chasing, going 2-3 with a career best in 7-runner handicap at Hereford (25.2f, soft) 25 days ago. Well on top at the finish there so not taken lightly despite a 7 lb weights rise. 1st Pick 1 Buckna (Ire) Jockey: James Bowen Trainer: Warren Greatrex J: James Bowen T: Warren Greatrex	98	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Point winner who has taken really well to chasing, going 2-3 with a career best in 7-runner handicap at Hereford (25.2f, soft) 25 days ago. Well on top at the finish there so not taken lightly despite a 7 lb weights rise.
3	Low-mileage winning pointer/hurdler who has shaped well both runs over fences, third at Wetherby (19.4f) before fell last when in second in 3m handicap at Doncaster 33 days ago. Weighted to go well. 2nd Pick 3 Top Target (Ire) Jockey: Tom Bellamy Trainer: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls J: Tom Bellamy T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls	100	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Low-mileage winning pointer/hurdler who has shaped well both runs over fences, third at Wetherby (19.4f) before fell last when in second in 3m handicap at Doncaster 33 days ago. Weighted to go well.
4	Made up into a fairly useful winning hurdler last term and he has shaped with promise on back of a wind op this term, second of 9 in handicap here (19.8f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Should have more to offer and very much one to consider. 3rd Pick 4 Aviation (Ire) Jockey: Tom Cannon Trainer: Lucy Wadham J: Tom Cannon T: Lucy Wadham	96	-	-	-	11%	Scratched
Analysis Made up into a fairly useful winning hurdler last term and he has shaped with promise on back of a wind op this term, second of 9 in handicap here (19.8f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Should have more to offer and very much one to consider.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.