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2:32 PM

GB - Newbury - Race 4

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
8f
Sweepstakes
Turf
Good (Good to Firm in places)
41.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BIN JAHWAR only had 2 rivals to beat on his Newmarket debut but couldn't have been much more impressive and is fancied to take the next step up the ladder now. Apulia Bay, another who won easily in a small field last time, is second choice ahead of Impasto and Algaihabane in a race containing several promising sorts.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Bin Jahwar (Ire) silk

Ghaiyyath colt who looked a smart prospect when easily landing odds of 1/3 on his Newmarket debut (1m, good) 5 weeks ago. Holds a Group 1 entry next month. Has the scope for plenty of improvement and the one to beat.

1st Pick
2

Bin Jahwar (Ire)

Jockey: William Buick

Trainer: Charlie Appleby

J: William Buick

T: Charlie Appleby

100---29%5/2

Analysis

Ghaiyyath colt who looked a smart prospect when easily landing odds of 1/3 on his Newmarket debut (1m, good) 5 weeks ago. Holds a Group 1 entry next month. Has the scope for plenty of improvement and the one to beat.

5
Apulia Bay (Ire) silk

600,000 gns Too Darn Hot colt who has made steady progress, easily winning a match race on Nottingham nursery debut (8.3f, good to firm) 38 days ago. Likely capable of better again for a stable operating at a 33% strike-rate with 2-y-os in 2026.

2nd Pick
5

Apulia Bay (Ire)

Jockey: Oisin Murphy

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

97---17%5/1

Analysis

600,000 gns Too Darn Hot colt who has made steady progress, easily winning a match race on Nottingham nursery debut (8.3f, good to firm) 38 days ago. Likely capable of better again for a stable operating at a 33% strike-rate with 2-y-os in 2026.

8
Impasto silk

10/3, shaped with plenty of encouragement when second of 11 in maiden at Ascot (7f, good) on debut 14 days ago. Looks sure to progress for top connections.

3rd Pick
8

Impasto

Jockey: C. T. Keane

Trainer: Andrew Balding

J: C. T. Keane

T: Andrew Balding

92---10%10/1

Analysis

10/3, shaped with plenty of encouragement when second of 11 in maiden at Ascot (7f, good) on debut 14 days ago. Looks sure to progress for top connections.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.