GB - Newbury - Race 1

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

16.3f

Handicap Hurdle

Turf

Good to Soft

23.5K

VIEW

Verdict

SPIRITS BAY often goes well fresh and looks a potential class angle in a wide-open renewal. He narrowly shades the vote over race-fit and unexposed Zarakerjack, while Faivoir would be interesting if supported from a slipping mark.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Justified support in a lower grade on reappearance this time last year. Mixed bag over fences/hurdles thereafter, looking back in form when 15½-length sixth (caught further back than ideal) in the Imperial Cup in March. Interesting back in a 0-125, especially given his record fresh. 1st Pick 2 Spirits Bay Jockey: Toby Mccain-Mitchell Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies J: Toby Mccain-Mitchell T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies	99	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Justified support in a lower grade on reappearance this time last year. Mixed bag over fences/hurdles thereafter, looking back in form when 15½-length sixth (caught further back than ideal) in the Imperial Cup in March. Interesting back in a 0-125, especially given his record fresh.
15	Did plenty wrong when placing in a couple of juvenile hurdles at Kempton last winter. Positive signs on the Flat since being gelded, doubling his tally with a fairly useful success at Epsom in late-September. Opening mark looks potentially lenient if he can jump/settle better back hurdling. 2nd Pick 15 Zarakerjack (Fr) Jockey: Freddie Mitchell Trainer: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore J: Freddie Mitchell T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore	100	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Did plenty wrong when placing in a couple of juvenile hurdles at Kempton last winter. Positive signs on the Flat since being gelded, doubling his tally with a fairly useful success at Epsom in late-September. Opening mark looks potentially lenient if he can jump/settle better back hurdling.
1	Course-winning veteran. Latest success in 2023 County. Best effort last season when 13-length third in the Greatwood (also distant third in William Hill Hurdle here). Mark eased again since his comeback run, and he's worth noting for each-way support with conditional able to claim full allowance. 3rd Pick 1 Faivoir (Fr) Jockey: Dominic Lewis Trainer: Dan Skelton J: Dominic Lewis T: Dan Skelton	96	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Course-winning veteran. Latest success in 2023 County. Best effort last season when 13-length third in the Greatwood (also distant third in William Hill Hurdle here). Mark eased again since his comeback run, and he's worth noting for each-way support with conditional able to claim full allowance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.