NZ - New Plymouth - Race 8

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.9f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

10.5K

VIEW

Verdict

BALLISTIC MISS (5) got back a long way early on and failed to fire a shot last time out at Pukekohe on a very testing heavy track. The step up from a mile to 1 ?m will suit her, as will racing in an anti-clockwise direction. She slides down a grade and is expected to bounce straight back into the money. BRUNO (2) made up a lot of late ground here last start in his best run in a while, finishing fourth over this trip. He will find this easier, and looks set to put his best hoof forward in this. Each way value. GOTA HUNCH (12) is still a maiden, and won't find this much tougher than the fields that he has been facing in his 3 career starts to date. He gets out to a more suitable trip now, and he is worth including in all combinations. MADAME MOET (11) has been kept busy in the spring, and she is not the worst at long odds here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	At the latest run ran last of 14 at Pukekohe on October 29 over 1m, on a wet track, 27 len behind Principled with 121lbs at $6.20. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Matamata on October 17 over 1m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Crackercol with 126lbs at $4.40. Hard to beat on her best form. 1st Pick 5 Ballistic Miss Jockey: Sam Weatherley Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Sam Weatherley T: Stephen Marsh	157	-	-	-	34%
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 14 at Pukekohe on October 29 over 1m, on a wet track, 27 len behind Principled with 121lbs at $6.20. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Matamata on October 17 over 1m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Crackercol with 126lbs at $4.40. Hard to beat on her best form.
2	Last start 4th of 13 at this track on November 5 over 1m, 4 len behind Cotton Roca carrying 123lbs at $36.30. The start before that eased back early on 11th of 14 at Trentham on October 26 over 1m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Girl Talk carrying 125lbs at $35. Terrific chance to return to form. 2nd Pick 2 Bruno Jockey: Madan Singh Trainer: Trudy & Vaughan Keegan J: Madan Singh T: Trudy & Vaughan Keegan	95	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Last start 4th of 13 at this track on November 5 over 1m, 4 len behind Cotton Roca carrying 123lbs at $36.30. The start before that eased back early on 11th of 14 at Trentham on October 26 over 1m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Girl Talk carrying 125lbs at $35. Terrific chance to return to form.
12	At the latest run 7th of 14 at Avondale on November 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Zerre with 126lbs at $9.80. Before that second last of 7 at Pukekohe on October 29 over 6f, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Circus Trix with 127lbs at $8.90. Well placed. Finds a nice race this time and is likely to feature. 3rd Pick 12 Gota Hunch Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: Joe Doyle T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	75	-	-	-	15%
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 14 at Avondale on November 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Zerre with 126lbs at $9.80. Before that second last of 7 at Pukekohe on October 29 over 6f, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Circus Trix with 127lbs at $8.90. Well placed. Finds a nice race this time and is likely to feature.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.