NZ - New Plymouth - Race 7

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

23.7K

VIEW

Verdict

HE'S LUCID (1) was trialling up well before finishing third fresh up at Hawera 8 days ago. He could have finished closer that day had he not been held up along the fence before they turned for home. If he can get going in clear air earlier this time, then he can have the last say. BEAUESK (6) has been runner-up twice since his tough short-head win here in late December. He relishes the wet tracks, and with conditions to suit him, he can figure in the top 3 again. SIXTH GENERATION (2) ran on late at Matamata last week, after winning by a nose at Waverley before that. He drops 6lbs in weight after a claim, and he can bounce straight back into the money here. TRUCE (4) will be peaking third up, and he only needs a wet track to be a threat in this. Include in all top 4 combos. BELLES FATE (5) is another who is looking for a wet track, and watch for some quick improvement once she gets them. Stick with her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after two months 3rd of 9 at Hawera on February 27 over 7f, 4 len behind Omega Boy carrying 129lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up 4th of 14 at Tauherenikau on December 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Afternoon Siesta carrying 132lbs at $13.70. Further improvement in store. 1st Pick 1 He's Lucid Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Kevin Myers J: Hayley Hassman T: Kevin Myers	117	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after two months 3rd of 9 at Hawera on February 27 over 7f, 4 len behind Omega Boy carrying 129lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up 4th of 14 at Tauherenikau on December 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Afternoon Siesta carrying 132lbs at $13.70. Further improvement in store.
6	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd in a small field at this track on February 13 over 7f, in the wet, 0.1 len behind Za Spirit with 121lbs at $3.60. The run before that 2nd in a small field at this track on January 24 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.5 len behind Wire Rope carrying 118lbs at $6.90. Well placed. Rates highly and is right in the mix again. 2nd Pick 6 Beauesk Jockey: Jim Chung Trainer: Robbie Patterson J: Jim Chung T: Robbie Patterson	98	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd in a small field at this track on February 13 over 7f, in the wet, 0.1 len behind Za Spirit with 121lbs at $3.60. The run before that 2nd in a small field at this track on January 24 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.5 len behind Wire Rope carrying 118lbs at $6.90. Well placed. Rates highly and is right in the mix again.
2	Most recently 6th of 9 at Matamata on February 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Thooza with 128lbs at $8.40. The start before that won by a 0.1 len at Waverley January 28 over 7f on a soft track defeating Wire Rope carrying 123lbs at $5.20. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 3rd Pick 2 Sixth Generation Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Jim Collett J: Floor Moerman T: Jim Collett	112	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Most recently 6th of 9 at Matamata on February 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Thooza with 128lbs at $8.40. The start before that won by a 0.1 len at Waverley January 28 over 7f on a soft track defeating Wire Rope carrying 123lbs at $5.20. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

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