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4:18 AM

NZ - New Plymouth - Race 7

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 10
46.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AYTEEM (1) cops a wide gate, but he is still likely to push forward early on, especially with the aid of a 7lbs claim. He has a terrific record here on his home track, and if he can find the top without using up too much energy, then she should still be there at the finish. The hat-trick beckons. DUBAI'S POTIKI (7) has been kept busy over the winter, and he has been holding her form strongly, including a last start second here 3 weeks ago at BM75 level. She drops 10lbs after a claim, and he has to be respected again. JAEGER (8) is a locally trained gelding who won comfortably fresh up at Taupo nearly 3 weeks ago, and that run will have him spot on for his home track assignment. Stick with him. VITTORIO VENETO (5) has good form on this track, and is worth including in all combos. MY FERRARI (11) has really hit his straps recently, and he can measure up here as well.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Ayteem silk

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, scored a big 6 len win at this track on August 15 over 1 ¼m on a heavy track defeating What A Charma carrying 128lbs at $1.70. The run before that favourite, won by 4 len at this track on July 18 over 1m in the wet defeating Rosetown Princess carrying 119lbs at $3.80. Rates highly and expected to run well.

1st Pick
1

Ayteem

Jockey: Ashlee Strawbridge

Trainer: Janelle Millar

J: Ashlee Strawbridge

T: Janelle Millar

125---17%5/1

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, scored a big 6 len win at this track on August 15 over 1 ¼m on a heavy track defeating What A Charma carrying 128lbs at $1.70. The run before that favourite, won by 4 len at this track on July 18 over 1m in the wet defeating Rosetown Princess carrying 119lbs at $3.80. Rates highly and expected to run well.

7
Dubai's Potiki silk

Most recently 2nd of 8 at this track on August 15 over 1m, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Amira D'argento with 127lbs at $3. Before that favourite, won by 1.75 len at this track on July 18 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Illustrious carrying 128lbs at $7.90. Shapes as a top chance on recent form.

2nd Pick
7

Dubai's Potiki

Jockey: Liam Kauri

Trainer: Chrissy Bambry

J: Liam Kauri

T: Chrissy Bambry

112---9%11/1

Analysis

Most recently 2nd of 8 at this track on August 15 over 1m, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Amira D'argento with 127lbs at $3. Before that favourite, won by 1.75 len at this track on July 18 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Illustrious carrying 128lbs at $7.90. Shapes as a top chance on recent form.

8
Jaeger silk

Second-up. First-up after three months came from midfield and won by 1.4 len at Taupo on August 16 over 7f in the wet defeating Florin with 123lbs at $4.30. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 at Wanganui on January 10 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Eizus carrying 129lbs at $9.20. Clearly the one to beat again. In the money when second up in the past and can add to that record today.

3rd Pick
8

Jaeger

Jockey: Kavish Chowdhoory

Trainer: Robbie Patterson

J: Kavish Chowdhoory

T: Robbie Patterson

107---8%12/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after three months came from midfield and won by 1.4 len at Taupo on August 16 over 7f in the wet defeating Florin with 123lbs at $4.30. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 at Wanganui on January 10 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Eizus carrying 129lbs at $9.20. Clearly the one to beat again. In the money when second up in the past and can add to that record today.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.