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3:43 AM

NZ - New Plymouth - Race 6

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
16f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 10
23.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KWANZA (3) has been racing strongly all winter, and he gives every indication that 2m is exactly is what he is looking for. He is nicely placed after a 4lbs claim, and will be very hard to hold out. MONROE (4) is a stablemate of the top pick who has gone back to back leading into this, and he will also be suited by the extreme trip. A wide gate is no issue with a long time to find a handy spot, and the hat-trick beckons. EARLY TIMES (8) was not far off the second pick when finishing fourth in the same race last start, and he has the breeding to see out 4 miles. Stick with him. SLICK CHICK (12) is usually in our selections, and she has been racing with not much luck. This trip will leave her with no more excuse, and we are going each-way again with her. LORD SPENCER (7) has been the break out jumping star this winter, and he was good enough to win 4 on the flat as a younger gelding. Keep safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Kwanza silk

Racing well recently. Comes here off a 43-day let-up. Last start 4th of 14 at Waverley on July 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Another Won't Hurt carrying 121lbs at $6.80. The start before that 4th of 10 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1 ½m, on a wet track, 2 len behind Notabadspillane carrying 117lbs at $4.90. Has the ability to be in the finish.

1st Pick
3

Kwanza

Jockey: Liam Kauri

Trainer: P Nelson & C Mcdougal

J: Liam Kauri

T: P Nelson & C Mcdougal

69---12%8/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Comes here off a 43-day let-up. Last start 4th of 14 at Waverley on July 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Another Won't Hurt carrying 121lbs at $6.80. The start before that 4th of 10 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1 ½m, on a wet track, 2 len behind Notabadspillane carrying 117lbs at $4.90. Has the ability to be in the finish.

4
Monroe silk

Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run won by 0.8 len at Woodville on August 16 over 1m in the wet defeating Tukituki with 128lbs at $10.80. The start before that won by a 0.1 len at Te Aroha on July 26 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Paper Romance with 125lbs at $10.20. Going well enough to take this out.

2nd Pick
4

Monroe

Jockey: Hayley Hassman

Trainer: P Nelson & C Mcdougal

J: Hayley Hassman

T: P Nelson & C Mcdougal

97---9%11/1

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run won by 0.8 len at Woodville on August 16 over 1m in the wet defeating Tukituki with 128lbs at $10.80. The start before that won by a 0.1 len at Te Aroha on July 26 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Paper Romance with 125lbs at $10.20. Going well enough to take this out.

8
Early Times silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Woodville on August 16 over 1m, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Monroe carrying 129lbs at $5.40. Before that won by 0.9 len at Waverley on July 24 over 1m in soft going defeating Satomi with 129lbs at $2.90. Anticipating a big run.

3rd Pick
8

Early Times

Jockey: Leah Hemi

Trainer: Kayla Macnab

J: Leah Hemi

T: Kayla Macnab

70---5%20/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Woodville on August 16 over 1m, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Monroe carrying 129lbs at $5.40. Before that won by 0.9 len at Waverley on July 24 over 1m in soft going defeating Satomi with 129lbs at $2.90. Anticipating a big run.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.