NZ - New Plymouth - Race 6

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

10.5K

VIEW

Verdict

SPANISH LAD (4) has yet to find his best form on a turf track, but was looking a lot better last time out at Pukekohe when finishing seventh. He gets a big swing in his draw, and more importantly, he will be back to racing in an anti-clockwise direction. A form reversal is expected. EL VIENTO (3) has improved his performances as his fitness has increased. He was less than 2 lengths from the winner when fifth at Tauranga nearly 3 weeks ago, and there will be no more excuses fourth up, especially if he strikes his preferred good track. INDIAN GOLD (5) could not catch the leader as the favourite in a 4-horse field here 4 weeks ago, settling for a sound second on a very testing track. He has yet to be tried on a better surface, but he won't lack fitness, and another honest run is on the cards. ROEDERER (1) has had a bunch of gear changes since finishing seventh as the favourite at Tauherenikau nearly 3 weeks ago. Stick with him and follow your money. Each way value. TAVI ANN (6) include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 8 over 1m, 3 len behind I'm Lulu with 125lbs at $33.70. The run before that second last of 9 at Ellerslie in the G1 Livamol Classic on October 18 over 1 ¼m, 10 len behind Waitak carrying 130lbs at $88.40. Huge chance on best form. 1st Pick 4 Spanish Lad Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: John Bell J: Amber Riddell T: John Bell	213	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 8 over 1m, 3 len behind I'm Lulu with 125lbs at $33.70. The run before that second last of 9 at Ellerslie in the G1 Livamol Classic on October 18 over 1 ¼m, 10 len behind Waitak carrying 130lbs at $88.40. Huge chance on best form.
3	At the latest run 5th of 14 at Tauranga on November 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Bourbon Proof with 128lbs at $12.10. The run before that 7th of 14 at Arawa Park on October 12 over 7f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Smart Love with 129lbs at $12.10. Encouraging effort last start. Certainly worth another chance. 2nd Pick 3 El Viento Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Craig Grylls T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	149	-	-	-	29%
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 14 at Tauranga on November 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Bourbon Proof with 128lbs at $12.10. The run before that 7th of 14 at Arawa Park on October 12 over 7f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Smart Love with 129lbs at $12.10. Encouraging effort last start. Certainly worth another chance.
5	Most recently 2nd in a small field at this track on October 24 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Rua Rocks with 128lbs at $2. The run before that 6th of 11 at Waverley on October 19 over 1 m, slow going 3 len behind Ghazzah with 125lbs at $7.20. Can do one better. 3rd Pick 5 Indian Gold Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Allan Sharrock J: Samantha Collett T: Allan Sharrock	120	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Most recently 2nd in a small field at this track on October 24 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Rua Rocks with 128lbs at $2. The run before that 6th of 11 at Waverley on October 19 over 1 m, slow going 3 len behind Ghazzah with 125lbs at $7.20. Can do one better.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.